PMOct 1, 2023
NoxTrader: LSTM-Based Stock Return Momentum Prediction for Quantitative TradingHsiang-Hui Liu, Han-Jay Shu, Wei-Ning Chiu
We introduce NoxTrader, a sophisticated system designed for portfolio construction and trading execution with the primary objective of achieving profitable outcomes in the stock market, specifically aiming to generate moderate to long-term profits. The underlying learning process of NoxTrader is rooted in the assimilation of valuable insights derived from historical trading data, particularly focusing on time-series analysis due to the nature of the dataset employed. In our approach, we utilize price and volume data of US stock market for feature engineering to generate effective features, including Return Momentum, Week Price Momentum, and Month Price Momentum. We choose the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)model to capture continuous price trends and implement dynamic model updates during the trading execution process, enabling the model to continuously adapt to the current market trends. Notably, we have developed a comprehensive trading backtesting system - NoxTrader, which allows us to manage portfolios based on predictive scores and utilize custom evaluation metrics to conduct a thorough assessment of our trading performance. Our rigorous feature engineering and careful selection of prediction targets enable us to generate prediction data with an impressive correlation range between 0.65 and 0.75. Finally, we monitor the dispersion of our prediction data and perform a comparative analysis against actual market data. Through the use of filtering techniques, we improved the initial -60% investment return to 325%.
IRMay 29, 2025
Augment or Not? A Comparative Study of Pure and Augmented Large Language Model RecommendersWei-Hsiang Huang, Chen-Wei Ke, Wei-Ning Chiu et al.
Large language models (LLMs) have introduced new paradigms for recommender systems by enabling richer semantic understanding and incorporating implicit world knowledge. In this study, we propose a systematic taxonomy that classifies existing approaches into two categories: (1) Pure LLM Recommenders, which rely solely on LLMs, and (2) Augmented LLM Recommenders, which integrate additional non-LLM techniques to enhance performance. This taxonomy provides a novel lens through which to examine the evolving landscape of LLM-based recommendation. To support fair comparison, we introduce a unified evaluation platform that benchmarks representative models under consistent experimental settings, highlighting key design choices that impact effectiveness. We conclude by discussing open challenges and outlining promising directions for future research. This work offers both a comprehensive overview and practical guidance for advancing next-generation LLM-powered recommender.
CVOct 2, 2025
Uncovering Overconfident Failures in CXR Models via Augmentation-Sensitivity Risk ScoringHan-Jay Shu, Wei-Ning Chiu, Shun-Ting Chang et al.
Deep learning models achieve strong performance in chest radiograph (CXR) interpretation, yet fairness and reliability concerns persist. Models often show uneven accuracy across patient subgroups, leading to hidden failures not reflected in aggregate metrics. Existing error detection approaches -- based on confidence calibration or out-of-distribution (OOD) detection -- struggle with subtle within-distribution errors, while image- and representation-level consistency-based methods remain underexplored in medical imaging. We propose an augmentation-sensitivity risk scoring (ASRS) framework to identify error-prone CXR cases. ASRS applies clinically plausible rotations ($\pm 15^\circ$/$\pm 30^\circ$) and measures embedding shifts with the RAD-DINO encoder. Sensitivity scores stratify samples into stability quartiles, where highly sensitive cases show substantially lower recall ($-0.2$ to $-0.3$) despite high AUROC and confidence. ASRS provides a label-free means for selective prediction and clinician review, improving fairness and safety in medical AI.
CLSep 23, 2025
Financial Risk Relation Identification through Dual-view AdaptationWei-Ning Chiu, Yu-Hsiang Wang, Andy Hsiao et al.
A multitude of interconnected risk events -- ranging from regulatory changes to geopolitical tensions -- can trigger ripple effects across firms. Identifying inter-firm risk relations is thus crucial for applications like portfolio management and investment strategy. Traditionally, such assessments rely on expert judgment and manual analysis, which are, however, subjective, labor-intensive, and difficult to scale. To address this, we propose a systematic method for extracting inter-firm risk relations using Form 10-K filings -- authoritative, standardized financial documents -- as our data source. Leveraging recent advances in natural language processing, our approach captures implicit and abstract risk connections through unsupervised fine-tuning based on chronological and lexical patterns in the filings. This enables the development of a domain-specific financial encoder with a deeper contextual understanding and introduces a quantitative risk relation score for transparency, interpretable analysis. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method outperforms strong baselines across multiple evaluation settings.