Mehrdad Pournaderi

Mehrdad Pournaderi, Yu Xiang

This work concerns developing communication- and computation-efficient methods for large-scale multiple testing over networks, which is of interest to many practical applications. We take an asymptotic approach and propose two methods, proportion-matching and greedy aggregation, tailored to distributed settings. The proportion-matching method achieves the global BH performance yet only requires a one-shot communication of the (estimated) proportion of true null hypotheses as well as the number of p-values at each node. By focusing on the asymptotic optimal power, we go beyond the BH procedure by providing an explicit characterization of the asymptotic optimal solution. This leads to the greedy aggregation method that effectively approximates the optimal rejection regions at each node, while computation efficiency comes from the greedy-type approach naturally. Moreover, for both methods, we provide the rate of convergence for both the FDR and power. Extensive numerical results over a variety of challenging settings are provided to support our theoretical findings.

Daofu Zhang, Mehrdad Pournaderi, Hanne M. Clifford et al.

This paper studies the adversarial robustness of conformal novelty detection. In particular, we focus on AdaDetect, a powerful learning-based framework for novelty detection with finite-sample false discovery rate (FDR) control. While AdaDetect provides rigorous statistical guarantees under benign conditions, its behavior under adversarial perturbations remains unexplored. We first formulate an oracle attack setting that quantifies the worst-case degradation of FDR, deriving an upper bound that characterizes the statistical cost of attacks. This idealized formulation directly motivates a practical and effective attack scheme that only requires query access to AdaDetect's output labels. Coupling these formulations with two popular and complementary black-box adversarial algorithms, we systematically evaluate the vulnerability of AdaDetect on synthetic and real-world datasets. Our results show that adversarial perturbations can significantly increase the FDR while maintaining high detection power, exposing fundamental limitations of current error-controlled novelty detection methods and motivating the development of more robust alternatives.

Mehrdad Pournaderi, Yu Xiang

The training-conditional coverage performance of the conformal prediction is known to be empirically sound. Recently, there have been efforts to support this observation with theoretical guarantees. The training-conditional coverage bounds for jackknife+ and full-conformal prediction regions have been established via the notion of $(m,n)$-stability by Liang and Barber~[2023]. Although this notion is weaker than uniform stability, it is not clear how to evaluate it for practical models. In this paper, we study the training-conditional coverage bounds of full-conformal, jackknife+, and CV+ prediction regions from a uniform stability perspective which is known to hold for empirical risk minimization over reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces with convex regularization. We derive coverage bounds for finite-dimensional models by a concentration argument for the (estimated) predictor function, and compare the bounds with existing ones under ridge regression.

Mehrdad Pournaderi, Yu Xiang

The knockoff filter, recently developed by Barber and Candes, is an effective procedure to perform variable selection with a controlled false discovery rate (FDR). We propose a private version of the knockoff filter by incorporating Gaussian and Laplace mechanisms, and show that variable selection with controlled FDR can be achieved. Simulations demonstrate that our setting has reasonable statistical power.