Mohammad Kawas

Qing Lyu, Jeremy Hudson, Mohammad Kawas et al.

Individualized Alzheimer's disease (AD) progression prediction requires models that use irregular visits, account for censoring, avoid diagnostic leakage, and provide calibrated horizon risks. We propose PROgression-aware MultI-horizon Survival Estimation for Alzheimer's Disease (PROMISE-AD), a leakage-safe survival framework for predicting conversion from cognitively normal (CN) to mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and from MCI to AD dementia using ADNI/TADPOLE tabular histories. PROMISE-AD converts pre-index visits into tokens with standardized measurements, missingness masks, longitudinal changes, time-normalized slopes, visit timing, and non-diagnostic categorical attributes. A temporal Transformer fuses global, attention-pooled, and latest-visit representations to estimate a progression score and latent discrete-time mixture hazards. Training combines survival likelihood, horizon-specific focal risk loss, progression ranking, hazard smoothness, and mixture-balance regularization, followed by validation-set isotonic calibration for 1-, 2-, 3-, and 5-year risks. In held-out testing across three seeds, PROMISE-AD achieved an integrated Brier score (IBS) of 0.085 $\pm$ 0.012, C-index of 0.808 $\pm$ 0.015, and mean time-dependent AUC of 0.840 $\pm$ 0.081 for CN-to-MCI conversion, yielding the lowest IBS among compared methods. For MCI-to-AD conversion, PROMISE-AD achieved the highest C-index (0.894 $\pm$ 0.018) and near-ceiling 5-year discrimination (AUROC 0.997 $\pm$ 0.003; AUPRC 0.999 $\pm$ 0.001), although some baselines had lower IBS. Ablations and interpretability supported longitudinal change features, fused temporal representations, mixture hazards, cognitive and functional measures, APOE4 status, and recent conversion-proximal visits. These findings suggest that progression-aware survival modeling can provide interpretable multi-horizon AD conversion risk estimates.

Qing Lyu, Jianxu Wang, Mohammad Kawas et al.

Accelerated magnetic resonance imaging reduces acquisition time, but reconstruction from undersampled k-space can blur diagnostically relevant structures or introduce failures that are not captured by global image metrics. We propose SA-RDM-DC, a Self-Auditing Residual generative Drifting Model with Data Consistency for accelerated knee MRI. The method adapts the newly proposed generative drifting paradigm to accelerated MRI by training a physics-conditioned drift field from the zero-filled reconstruction toward the fully sampled residual correction. It predicts image- and missing-k-space residual corrections, enforces data consistency with acquired k-space, uses frequency-aware and residual drifting supervision to recover fine detail, and produces dense error maps and slice-level risk scores in the same inference pass. We evaluate SA-RDM-DC on multi-coil fastMRI knee data at acceleration factors of 4, 8, and 12, with fastMRI+ pathology annotations for region-level and classifier-based task preservation, and on SKM-TEA for zero-shot and fine-tuned protocol-shift evaluation. Compared with zero-filled reconstruction, UNet-image-SENSE, DC-UNet, Score-Diffusion, ELF-Diff, SENSE-VarNet, and MoDL baselines, SA-RDM-DC achieves the highest SSIM across fastMRI acceleration factors while retaining subsecond per-slice inference and avoiding the long sampling time of iterative diffusion baselines. In pathology-aware analysis, SA-RDM-DC preserves lesion-region structural fidelity and reduces meniscus prediction instability. Its self-auditing scores strongly identify high-error reconstructions on fastMRI and partially transfer as a selective-review signal under SKM-TEA protocol shift. These results support reconstruction evaluation that jointly considers image fidelity, pathology preservation, runtime, and case-specific reliability.