Gustav Markkula

Chenghao Qian, Nedko Savov, Lingdong Kong et al.

Weather synthesis aims to add weather effects to input videos while preserving scene identity, structure, and motion. The key limitation of existing methods is the lack of diversity in weather appearance and effective control over weather dynamics (e.g., temporal evolution and particle motion). Most approaches rely on text prompts, which are inherently underspecified and often fail to produce detailed weather characteristics. Additionally, general-purpose video editors optimized for clean and aesthetic outputs tend to suppress heavy weather phenomena, making dense particle effects difficult to generate. To address these, we propose a Semantic-Aware, Physics-Informed, and Geometry-Grounded framework that steers an off-the-shelf video editor to synthesize diverse global appearances and detailed particle dynamics. We factorize the synthesis into three conditional signals, so that each provides a distinct and stable source of guidance: semantics specifies what the weather should look like, dynamics governs how it evolves over time, and geometry determines where it should appear in the scene. Specifically, we introduce (1) semantic-aware appearance anchoring to establish the target appearance from scene semantics and user input; (2) physics-informed dynamic simulation to generate particle effects by simulating a Gaussian-represented particle field under gravity, wind, and turbulence; and (3) geometry-grounded video synthesis to align the simulated particles with target scene geometry and synthesize the final video. Experiments demonstrate that our method produces diverse, physically and visually realistic weather effects. Furthermore, we show that our synthesized data significantly improves the robustness of autonomous driving semantic segmentation under adverse weather conditions. Project page: https://jumponthemoon.github.io/w-crafter/.

Floor Bontje, Felix van Waveren, Leendert van Maanen et al.

Evidence accumulation models provide a formal framework for studying decision making as a dynamic process unfolding over time. While these models have been extensively developed and reviewed in laboratory paradigms, their structured application in complex, ecologically valid domains has received comparatively little attention. Road traffic is a particularly relevant context for studying sustained, embodied perception action behavior, where decisions unfold under time pressure and involve continuous control and ongoing perception-action coupling. Examining how EAMs have been applied in this domain may therefore offer insights beyond discrete laboratory tasks toward decision making in real-world behavior. This semi-systematic review synthesizes 28 studies (2014-2026) applying EAMs to traffic-related behavior. We organize the literature along two dimensions: 1) modelling level, distinguishing models at the level of discrete decision-making and models at the level of continuous action control, and 2) model architecture, distinguishing evidence accumulation as either a stand-alone decision model or an embedded component within broader perception-action or interaction frameworks. These distinctions are associated with systematic differences in model architecture, parameterization, data usage, and validation strategies, reflecting task specific demands. By providing a structured overview of these patterns, this review clarifies how EAMs are currently instantiated in traffic contexts and highlights methodological challenges and future directions both in traffic modelling and in modelling of decision-making more broadly. Promising directions include laboratory work on evidence accumulation in sustained and time-varying tasks, interactive multi-individual decision-making, and the use of neurophysiological measures to identify the perceptual evidence underlying complex perception-action behavior.

Xian Liu, Carlo G. Prato, Gustav Markkula

Traffic microsimulation combined with surrogate safety measures has increasingly been used as a proactive alternative to historical crash data for predicting crash frequency for current or planned road infrastructure designs. However, existing microsimulation-based safety studies have adopted simplified rule-based behaviour models, which reproduce traffic flow reasonably well but often fail to generate realistic conflict dynamics, limiting crash prediction accuracy. Recent advances in machine learning (ML)-based behaviour models offer a promising opportunity to potentially improve microsimulation realism and crash frequency predictions by learning human driving behaviour directly from large-scale trajectory datasets. To investigate this possibility, traffic microsimulation was conducted for five real-world signalised intersections in Leeds, UK, using both a standard rule-based model and a state-of-the-art ML model. Simulated vehicle trajectories were analysed using a two-dimensional Time-to-Collision metric to identify simulated conflicts, which were then modelled using Extreme Value Theory to predict crash frequency. Results show that conflicts from the ML model yielded crash predictions in line with the real-world crash data, whereas the rule-based model did not permit meaningful predictions, presumably due to a lack of model calibration to the specific simulated intersections. Directly using ML-generated simulated crashes to predict real-world crash frequency also yielded poor results, suggesting that while current ML models can realistically reproduce conflicts, they are not yet able to generate realistic crashes. Overall, the findings demonstrate that ML-based behaviour models are promising for improving crash prediction from simulated conflicts, without a need for location-specific model calibration, and suggest clear future directions for ML-based traffic microsimulation.