51.0AIMay 22
GENSTRAT: Toward a Science of Strategic Reasoning in Large Language ModelsVartan Shadarevian, Kia Ghods, Alex Kenich et al.
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as economic agents in marketplaces, auctions, and bidding settings. Anticipating their behavior in any specific deployment is hard. Existing strategic-reasoning benchmarks evaluate models on fixed canonical games. These benchmarks may saturate as the frontier improves, and they do not allow evaluators to generalize with confidence from benchmark performance to the varied and messy strategic environments that actual deployments involve. We introduce GENSTRAT, which uses procedurally generated strategic environments to address these challenges. Concretely, we generate a distribution of two-player zero-sum imperfect-information card games. The generator can draw fresh games on demand, allowing for evergreen evaluation and resistance to contamination. We pair the game distribution with a capability-profile methodology that decomposes model competence across six axes (state space, temporal depth, information sensitivity, opponent modeling, risk, and brittleness). We also introduce a jaggedness measure of within-distribution smoothness that detects when a model's advantage jumps unpredictably between strategically similar games. We sample 50 benchmark games from a 2,000-game generated pool and evaluate nine frontier and open-weight LLMs in a head-to-head tournament with over 36,000 matches. Newer frontier-tier models score higher on average. Beyond that average, models with near-identical overall strength show qualitatively different capability profiles, and two of the top three leaderboard models (gpt-5 and claude) are noticeably more locally volatile than the third (gemini-3.1-pro), despite being close in overall strength. Together, the capability profile and the jaggedness measure give a deployment-relevant diagnostic that the overall ranking alone cannot provide.
70.6LGMar 11
Continuous Diffusion Transformers for Designing Synthetic Regulatory ElementsJonathan Liu, Kia Ghods
We present a parameter-efficient Diffusion Transformer (DiT) for generating 200bp cell-type-specific regulatory DNA sequences. By replacing the U-Net backbone of DNA-Diffusion with a transformer denoiser equipped with a 2D CNN input encoder, our model matches the U-Net's best validation loss in 13 epochs (60$\times$ fewer) and converges 39% lower, while reducing memorization from 5.3% to 1.7% of generated sequences aligning to training data via BLAT. Ablations show the CNN encoder is essential: without it, validation loss increases 70% regardless of positional embedding choice. We further apply DDPO finetuning using Enformer as a reward model, achieving a 38$\times$ improvement in predicted regulatory activity. Cross-validation against DRAKES on an independent prediction task confirms that improvements reflect genuine regulatory signal rather than reward model overfitting.
AIOct 31, 2024
Understanding the Limits of Vision Language Models Through the Lens of the Binding ProblemDeclan Campbell, Sunayana Rane, Tyler Giallanza et al.
Recent work has documented striking heterogeneity in the performance of state-of-the-art vision language models (VLMs), including both multimodal language models and text-to-image models. These models are able to describe and generate a diverse array of complex, naturalistic images, yet they exhibit surprising failures on basic multi-object reasoning tasks -- such as counting, localization, and simple forms of visual analogy -- that humans perform with near perfect accuracy. To better understand this puzzling pattern of successes and failures, we turn to theoretical accounts of the binding problem in cognitive science and neuroscience, a fundamental problem that arises when a shared set of representational resources must be used to represent distinct entities (e.g., to represent multiple objects in an image), necessitating the use of serial processing to avoid interference. We find that many of the puzzling failures of state-of-the-art VLMs can be explained as arising due to the binding problem, and that these failure modes are strikingly similar to the limitations exhibited by rapid, feedforward processing in the human brain.
AISep 29, 2025
Visual serial processing deficits explain divergences in human and VLM reasoningNicholas Budny, Kia Ghods, Declan Campbell et al.
Why do Vision Language Models (VLMs), despite success on standard benchmarks, often fail to match human performance on surprisingly simple visual reasoning tasks? While the underlying computational principles are still debated, we hypothesize that a crucial factor is a deficit in visually-grounded serial processing. To test this hypothesis, we compared human and VLM performance across tasks designed to vary serial processing demands in three distinct domains: geometric reasoning, perceptual enumeration, and mental rotation. Tasks within each domain varied serial processing load by manipulating factors such as geometric concept complexity, perceptual individuation load, and transformation difficulty. Across all domains, our results revealed a consistent pattern: decreased VLM accuracy was strongly correlated with increased human reaction time (used as a proxy for serial processing load). As tasks require more demanding serial processing -- whether composing concepts, enumerating items, or performing mental transformations -- the VLM-human performance gap widens reliably. These findings support our hypothesis, indicating that limitations in serial, visually grounded reasoning represent a fundamental bottleneck that distinguishes current VLMs from humans.