NAMay 27, 2011
Parameter Estimation from Occupation TimesWolfgang Bock, Thomas Götz, Martin Grothaus et al.
We derive an equation to compute directly the expected occupation time of the centered Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This allows us to identify the parameters of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process for available occupation times via a standard least squares minimization. To test the method, we generate occupation times via Monte-Carlo simulations and recover the parameters with the above mentioned procedure.
PRDec 15, 2011
Parameter Estimation of Fiber Lay-down in Nonwoven Production - An Occupation Time Approach-Wolfgang Bock, Thomas Götz, Uditha Prabhath Liyanage
In this paper we investigate the parameter estimation of the fiber lay-down process in the production of nonwovens. The parameter estimation is based on the mass per unit area data, which is available at least on an industrial scale. We introduce a stochastic model to represent the fiber lay-down and through the model's parameters we characterize this fiber lay-down. Based on the occupation time, which is the equivalent quantity for the mass per unit area in the context of stochastic dynamical systems, an optimization procedure is formulated that estimates the parameters of the model. The optimization procedure is tested using occupation time data given by Monte-Carlo simulations. The feasibility of the optimization procedure on an industrial level is tested using the fiber paths simulated by the industrial software FYDIST.
LGFeb 12
Latent-Variable Learning of SPDEs via Wiener ChaosSebastian Zeng, Andreas Petersson, Wolfgang Bock
We study the problem of learning the law of linear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with additive Gaussian forcing from spatiotemporal observations. Most existing deep learning approaches either assume access to the driving noise or initial condition, or rely on deterministic surrogate models that fail to capture intrinsic stochasticity. We propose a structured latent-variable formulation that requires only observations of solution realizations and learns the underlying randomly forced dynamics. Our approach combines a spectral Galerkin projection with a truncated Wiener chaos expansion, yielding a principled separation between deterministic evolution and stochastic forcing. This reduces the infinite-dimensional SPDE to a finite system of parametrized ordinary differential equations governing latent temporal dynamics. The latent dynamics and stochastic forcing are jointly inferred through variational learning, allowing recovery of stochastic structure without explicit observation or simulation of noise during training. Empirical evaluation on synthetic data demonstrates state-of-the-art performance under comparable modeling assumptions across bounded and unbounded one-dimensional spatial domains.