Rahmatollah Beheshti

LG
h-index19
23papers
351citations
Novelty41%
AI Score53

23 Papers

LGApr 29, 2022Code
An Extensive Data Processing Pipeline for MIMIC-IV

Mehak Gupta, Brennan Gallamoza, Nicolas Cutrona et al.

An increasing amount of research is being devoted to applying machine learning methods to electronic health record (EHR) data for various clinical purposes. This growing area of research has exposed the challenges of the accessibility of EHRs. MIMIC is a popular, public, and free EHR dataset in a raw format that has been used in numerous studies. The absence of standardized pre-processing steps can be, however, a significant barrier to the wider adoption of this rare resource. Additionally, this absence can reduce the reproducibility of the developed tools and limit the ability to compare the results among similar studies. In this work, we provide a greatly customizable pipeline to extract, clean, and pre-process the data available in the fourth version of the MIMIC dataset (MIMIC-IV). The pipeline also presents an end-to-end wizard-like package supporting predictive model creations and evaluations. The pipeline covers a range of clinical prediction tasks which can be broadly classified into four categories - readmission, length of stay, mortality, and phenotype prediction. The tool is publicly available at https://github.com/healthylaife/MIMIC-IV-Data-Pipeline.

CLAug 22, 2024Code
Aligning (Medical) LLMs for (Counterfactual) Fairness

Raphael Poulain, Hamed Fayyaz, Rahmatollah Beheshti

Large Language Models (LLMs) have emerged as promising solutions for a variety of medical and clinical decision support applications. However, LLMs are often subject to different types of biases, which can lead to unfair treatment of individuals, worsening health disparities, and reducing trust in AI-augmented medical tools. Aiming to address this important issue, in this study, we present a new model alignment approach for aligning LLMs using a preference optimization method within a knowledge distillation framework. Prior to presenting our proposed method, we first use an evaluation framework to conduct a comprehensive (largest to our knowledge) empirical evaluation to reveal the type and nature of existing biases in LLMs used for medical applications. We then offer a bias mitigation technique to reduce the unfair patterns in LLM outputs across different subgroups identified by the protected attributes. We show that our mitigation method is effective in significantly reducing observed biased patterns. Our code is publicly available at \url{https://github.com/healthylaife/FairAlignmentLLM}.

CVFeb 13Code
Layer-Specific Fine-Tuning for Improved Negation Handling in Medical Vision-Language Models

Ali Abbasi, Mehdi Taghipour, Rahmatollah Beheshti

Negation is a fundamental linguistic operation in clinical reporting, yet vision-language models (VLMs) frequently fail to distinguish affirmative from negated medical statements. To systematically characterize this limitation, we introduce a radiology-specific diagnostic benchmark that evaluates polarity sensitivity under controlled clinical conditions, revealing that common medical VLMs consistently confuse negated and non-negated findings. To enable learning beyond simple condition absence, we further construct a contextual clinical negation dataset that encodes structured claims and supports attribute-level negations involving location and severity. Building on these resources, we propose Negation-Aware Selective Training (NAST), an interpretability-guided adaptation method that uses causal tracing effects (CTEs) to modulate layer-wise gradient updates during fine-tuning. Rather than applying uniform learning rates, NAST scales each layer's update according to its causal contribution to negation processing, transforming mechanistic interpretability signals into a principled optimization rule. Experiments demonstrate improved discrimination of affirmative and negated clinical statements without degrading general vision-language alignment, highlighting the value of causal interpretability for targeted model adaptation in safety-critical medical settings. Code and resources are available at https://github.com/healthylaife/NAST.

LGJan 8Code
A Multimodal Data Processing Pipeline for MIMIC-IV Dataset

Farzana Islam Adiba, Varsha Danduri, Fahmida Liza Piya et al.

The MIMIC-IV dataset is a large, publicly available electronic health record (EHR) resource widely used for clinical machine learning research. It comprises multiple modalities, including structured data, clinical notes, waveforms, and imaging data. Working with these disjointed modalities requires an extensive manual effort to preprocess and align them for downstream analysis. While several pipelines for MIMIC-IV data extraction are available, they target a small subset of modalities or do not fully support arbitrary downstream applications. In this work, we greatly expand our prior popular unimodal pipeline and present a comprehensive and customizable multimodal pipeline that can significantly reduce multimodal processing time and enhance the reproducibility of MIMIC-based studies. Our pipeline systematically integrates the listed modalities, enabling automated cohort selection, temporal alignment across modalities, and standardized multimodal output formats suitable for arbitrary static and time-series downstream applications. We release the code, a simple UI, and a Python package for selective integration (with embedding) at https://github.com/healthylaife/MIMIC-IV-Data-Pipeline.

CLFeb 23
AgenticSum: An Agentic Inference-Time Framework for Faithful Clinical Text Summarization

Fahmida Liza Piya, Rahmatollah Beheshti

Large language models (LLMs) offer substantial promise for automating clinical text summarization, yet maintaining factual consistency remains challenging due to the length, noise, and heterogeneity of clinical documentation. We present AgenticSum, an inference-time, agentic framework that separates context selection, generation, verification, and targeted correction to reduce hallucinated content. The framework decomposes summarization into coordinated stages that compress task-relevant context, generate an initial draft, identify weakly supported spans using internal attention grounding signals, and selectively revise flagged content under supervisory control. We evaluate AgenticSum on two public datasets, using reference-based metrics, LLM-as-a-judge assessment, and human evaluation. Across various measures, AgenticSum demonstrates consistent improvements compared to vanilla LLMs and other strong baselines. Our results indicate that structured, agentic design with targeted correction offers an effective inference time solution to improve clinical note summarization using LLMs.

CLOct 18, 2024Code
Enabling Scalable Evaluation of Bias Patterns in Medical LLMs

Hamed Fayyaz, Raphael Poulain, Rahmatollah Beheshti

Large language models (LLMs) have shown impressive potential in helping with numerous medical challenges. Deploying LLMs in high-stakes applications such as medicine, however, brings in many concerns. One major area of concern relates to biased behaviors of LLMs in medical applications, leading to unfair treatment of individuals. To pave the way for the responsible and impactful deployment of Med LLMs, rigorous evaluation is a key prerequisite. Due to the huge complexity and variability of different medical scenarios, existing work in this domain has primarily relied on using manually crafted datasets for bias evaluation. In this study, we present a new method to scale up such bias evaluations by automatically generating test cases based on rigorous medical evidence. We specifically target the challenges of a) domain-specificity of bias characterization, b) hallucinating while generating the test cases, and c) various dependencies between the health outcomes and sensitive attributes. To that end, we offer new methods to address these challenges integrated with our generative pipeline, using medical knowledge graphs, medical ontologies, and customized general LLM evaluation frameworks in our method. Through a series of extensive experiments, we show that the test cases generated by our proposed method can effectively reveal bias patterns in Med LLMs at larger and more flexible scales than human-crafted datasets. We publish a large bias evaluation dataset using our pipeline, which is dedicated to a few medical case studies. A live demo of our application for vignette generation is available at https://vignette.streamlit.app. Our code is also available at https://github.com/healthylaife/autofair.

LGMar 26, 2024Code
HealthGAT: Node Classifications in Electronic Health Records using Graph Attention Networks

Fahmida Liza Piya, Mehak Gupta, Rahmatollah Beheshti

While electronic health records (EHRs) are widely used across various applications in healthcare, most applications use the EHRs in their raw (tabular) format. Relying on raw or simple data pre-processing can greatly limit the performance or even applicability of downstream tasks using EHRs. To address this challenge, we present HealthGAT, a novel graph attention network framework that utilizes a hierarchical approach to generate embeddings from EHR, surpassing traditional graph-based methods. Our model iteratively refines the embeddings for medical codes, resulting in improved EHR data analysis. We also introduce customized EHR-centric auxiliary pre-training tasks to leverage the rich medical knowledge embedded within the data. This approach provides a comprehensive analysis of complex medical relationships and offers significant advancement over standard data representation techniques. HealthGAT has demonstrated its effectiveness in various healthcare scenarios through comprehensive evaluations against established methodologies. Specifically, our model shows outstanding performance in node classification and downstream tasks such as predicting readmissions and diagnosis classifications. Our code is available at https://github.com/healthylaife/HealthGAT

LGSep 28, 2025Code
HyMaTE: A Hybrid Mamba and Transformer Model for EHR Representation Learning

Md Mozaharul Mottalib, Thao-Ly T. Phan, Rahmatollah Beheshti

Electronic health Records (EHRs) have become a cornerstone in modern-day healthcare. They are a crucial part for analyzing the progression of patient health; however, their complexity, characterized by long, multivariate sequences, sparsity, and missing values poses significant challenges in traditional deep learning modeling. While Transformer-based models have demonstrated success in modeling EHR data and predicting clinical outcomes, their quadratic computational complexity and limited context length hinder their efficiency and practical applications. On the other hand, State Space Models (SSMs) like Mamba present a promising alternative offering linear-time sequence modeling and improved efficiency for handling long sequences, but focus mostly on mixing sequence-level information rather than channel-level data. To overcome these challenges, we propose HyMaTE (A Hybrid Mamba and Transformer Model for EHR Representation Learning), a novel hybrid model tailored for representing longitudinal data, combining the strengths of SSMs with advanced attention mechanisms. By testing the model on predictive tasks on multiple clinical datasets, we demonstrate HyMaTE's ability to capture an effective, richer, and more nuanced unified representation of EHR data. Additionally, the interpretability of the outcomes achieved by self-attention illustrates the effectiveness of our model as a scalable and generalizable solution for real-world healthcare applications. Codes are available at: https://github.com/healthylaife/HyMaTE.

LGJun 4, 2024Code
Fairness-Optimized Synthetic EHR Generation for Arbitrary Downstream Predictive Tasks

Mirza Farhan Bin Tarek, Raphael Poulain, Rahmatollah Beheshti

Among various aspects of ensuring the responsible design of AI tools for healthcare applications, addressing fairness concerns has been a key focus area. Specifically, given the wide spread of electronic health record (EHR) data and their huge potential to inform a wide range of clinical decision support tasks, improving fairness in this category of health AI tools is of key importance. While such a broad problem (mitigating fairness in EHR-based AI models) has been tackled using various methods, task- and model-agnostic methods are noticeably rare. In this study, we aimed to target this gap by presenting a new pipeline that generates synthetic EHR data, which is not only consistent with (faithful to) the real EHR data but also can reduce the fairness concerns (defined by the end-user) in the downstream tasks, when combined with the real data. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed pipeline across various downstream tasks and two different EHR datasets. Our proposed pipeline can add a widely applicable and complementary tool to the existing toolbox of methods to address fairness in health AI applications, such as those modifying the design of a downstream model. The codebase for our project is available at https://github.com/healthylaife/FairSynth

CLApr 23, 2024
Bias patterns in the application of LLMs for clinical decision support: A comprehensive study

Raphael Poulain, Hamed Fayyaz, Rahmatollah Beheshti

Large Language Models (LLMs) have emerged as powerful candidates to inform clinical decision-making processes. While these models play an increasingly prominent role in shaping the digital landscape, two growing concerns emerge in healthcare applications: 1) to what extent do LLMs exhibit social bias based on patients' protected attributes (like race), and 2) how do design choices (like architecture design and prompting strategies) influence the observed biases? To answer these questions rigorously, we evaluated eight popular LLMs across three question-answering (QA) datasets using clinical vignettes (patient descriptions) standardized for bias evaluations. We employ red-teaming strategies to analyze how demographics affect LLM outputs, comparing both general-purpose and clinically-trained models. Our extensive experiments reveal various disparities (some significant) across protected groups. We also observe several counter-intuitive patterns such as larger models not being necessarily less biased and fined-tuned models on medical data not being necessarily better than the general-purpose models. Furthermore, our study demonstrates the impact of prompt design on bias patterns and shows that specific phrasing can influence bias patterns and reflection-type approaches (like Chain of Thought) can reduce biased outcomes effectively. Consistent with prior studies, we call on additional evaluations, scrutiny, and enhancement of LLMs used in clinical decision support applications.

LGSep 19, 2025
Reward Hacking Mitigation using Verifiable Composite Rewards

Mirza Farhan Bin Tarek, Rahmatollah Beheshti

Reinforcement Learning from Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) has recently shown that large language models (LLMs) can develop their own reasoning without direct supervision. However, applications in the medical domain, specifically for question answering, are susceptible to significant reward hacking during the reasoning phase. Our work addresses two primary forms of this behavior: i) providing a final answer without preceding reasoning, and ii) employing non-standard reasoning formats to exploit the reward mechanism. To mitigate these, we introduce a composite reward function with specific penalties for these behaviors. Our experiments show that extending RLVR with our proposed reward model leads to better-formatted reasoning with less reward hacking and good accuracy compared to the baselines. This approach marks a step toward reducing reward hacking and enhancing the reliability of models utilizing RLVR.

CLApr 23, 2025
ConTextual: Improving Clinical Text Summarization in LLMs with Context-preserving Token Filtering and Knowledge Graphs

Fahmida Liza Piya, Rahmatollah Beheshti

Unstructured clinical data can serve as a unique and rich source of information that can meaningfully inform clinical practice. Extracting the most pertinent context from such data is critical for exploiting its true potential toward optimal and timely decision-making in patient care. While prior research has explored various methods for clinical text summarization, most prior studies either process all input tokens uniformly or rely on heuristic-based filters, which can overlook nuanced clinical cues and fail to prioritize information critical for decision-making. In this study, we propose Contextual, a novel framework that integrates a Context-Preserving Token Filtering method with a Domain-Specific Knowledge Graph (KG) for contextual augmentation. By preserving context-specific important tokens and enriching them with structured knowledge, ConTextual improves both linguistic coherence and clinical fidelity. Our extensive empirical evaluations on two public benchmark datasets demonstrate that ConTextual consistently outperforms other baselines. Our proposed approach highlights the complementary role of token-level filtering and structured retrieval in enhancing both linguistic and clinical integrity, as well as offering a scalable solution for improving precision in clinical text generation.

LGFeb 10, 2025
Recent Advances, Applications and Open Challenges in Machine Learning for Health: Reflections from Research Roundtables at ML4H 2024 Symposium

Amin Adibi, Xu Cao, Zongliang Ji et al.

The fourth Machine Learning for Health (ML4H) symposium was held in person on December 15th and 16th, 2024, in the traditional, ancestral, and unceded territories of the Musqueam, Squamish, and Tsleil-Waututh Nations in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. The symposium included research roundtable sessions to foster discussions between participants and senior researchers on timely and relevant topics for the ML4H community. The organization of the research roundtables at the conference involved 13 senior and 27 junior chairs across 13 tables. Each roundtable session included an invited senior chair (with substantial experience in the field), junior chairs (responsible for facilitating the discussion), and attendees from diverse backgrounds with an interest in the session's topic.

LGDec 12, 2024
An Interoperable Machine Learning Pipeline for Pediatric Obesity Risk Estimation

Hamed Fayyaz, Mehak Gupta, Alejandra Perez Ramirez et al.

Reliable prediction of pediatric obesity can offer a valuable resource to providers, helping them engage in timely preventive interventions before the disease is established. Many efforts have been made to develop ML-based predictive models of obesity, and some studies have reported high predictive performances. However, no commonly used clinical decision support tool based on existing ML models currently exists. This study presents a novel end-to-end pipeline specifically designed for pediatric obesity prediction, which supports the entire process of data extraction, inference, and communication via an API or a user interface. While focusing only on routinely recorded data in pediatric electronic health records (EHRs), our pipeline uses a diverse expert-curated list of medical concepts to predict the 1-3 years risk of developing obesity. Furthermore, by using the Fast Healthcare Interoperability Resources (FHIR) standard in our design procedure, we specifically target facilitating low-effort integration of our pipeline with different EHR systems. In our experiments, we report the effectiveness of the predictive model as well as its alignment with the feedback from various stakeholders, including ML scientists, providers, health IT personnel, health administration representatives, and patient group representatives.

AIJul 26, 2025
Tell Me You're Biased Without Telling Me You're Biased -- Toward Revealing Implicit Biases in Medical LLMs

Farzana Islam Adiba, Rahmatollah Beheshti

Large language models (LLMs) that are used in medical applications are known to show biased and unfair patterns. Prior to adopting these in clinical decision-making applications, it is crucial to identify these bias patterns to enable effective mitigation of their impact. In this study, we present a novel framework combining knowledge graphs (KGs) with auxiliary LLMs to systematically reveal complex bias patterns in medical LLMs. Specifically, the proposed approach integrates adversarial perturbation techniques to identify subtle bias patterns. The approach adopts a customized multi-hop characterization of KGs to enhance the systematic evaluation of arbitrary LLMs. Through a series of comprehensive experiments (on three datasets, six LLMs, and five bias types), we show that our proposed framework has noticeably greater ability and scalability to reveal complex biased patterns of LLMs compared to other baselines.

SPFeb 24, 2024
Multimodal Sleep Apnea Detection with Missing or Noisy Modalities

Hamed Fayyaz, Abigail Strang, Niharika S. D'Souza et al.

Polysomnography (PSG) is a type of sleep study that records multimodal physiological signals and is widely used for purposes such as sleep staging and respiratory event detection. Conventional machine learning methods assume that each sleep study is associated with a fixed set of observed modalities and that all modalities are available for each sample. However, noisy and missing modalities are a common issue in real-world clinical settings. In this study, we propose a comprehensive pipeline aiming to compensate for the missing or noisy modalities when performing sleep apnea detection. Unlike other existing studies, our proposed model works with any combination of available modalities. Our experiments show that the proposed model outperforms other state-of-the-art approaches in sleep apnea detection using various subsets of available data and different levels of noise, and maintains its high performance (AUROC>0.9) even in the presence of high levels of noise or missingness. This is especially relevant in settings where the level of noise and missingness is high (such as pediatric or outside-of-clinic scenarios).

LGMay 19, 2023
Improving Fairness in AI Models on Electronic Health Records: The Case for Federated Learning Methods

Raphael Poulain, Mirza Farhan Bin Tarek, Rahmatollah Beheshti

Developing AI tools that preserve fairness is of critical importance, specifically in high-stakes applications such as those in healthcare. However, health AI models' overall prediction performance is often prioritized over the possible biases such models could have. In this study, we show one possible approach to mitigate bias concerns by having healthcare institutions collaborate through a federated learning paradigm (FL; which is a popular choice in healthcare settings). While FL methods with an emphasis on fairness have been previously proposed, their underlying model and local implementation techniques, as well as their possible applications to the healthcare domain remain widely underinvestigated. Therefore, we propose a comprehensive FL approach with adversarial debiasing and a fair aggregation method, suitable to various fairness metrics, in the healthcare domain where electronic health records are used. Not only our approach explicitly mitigates bias as part of the optimization process, but an FL-based paradigm would also implicitly help with addressing data imbalance and increasing the data size, offering a practical solution for healthcare applications. We empirically demonstrate our method's superior performance on multiple experiments simulating large-scale real-world scenarios and compare it to several baselines. Our method has achieved promising fairness performance with the lowest impact on overall discrimination performance (accuracy).

LGFeb 3, 2022
Who will Leave a Pediatric Weight Management Program and When? -- A machine learning approach for predicting attrition patterns

Hamed Fayyaz, Thao-Ly T. Phan, H. Timothy Bunnell et al.

Childhood obesity is a major public health concern. Multidisciplinary pediatric weight management programs are considered standard treatment for children with obesity and severe obesity who are not able to be successfully managed in the primary care setting; however, high drop-out rates (referred to as attrition) are a major hurdle in delivering successful interventions. Predicting attrition patterns can help providers reduce the attrition rates. Previous work has mainly focused on finding static predictors of attrition using statistical analysis methods. In this study, we present a machine learning model to predict (a) the likelihood of attrition, and (b) the change in body-mass index (BMI) percentile of children, at different time points after joining a weight management program. We use a five-year dataset containing the information related to around 4,550 children that we have compiled using data from the Nemours Pediatric Weight Management program. Our models show strong prediction performance as determined by high AUROC scores across different tasks (average AUROC of 0.75 for predicting attrition, and 0.73 for predicting weight outcomes). Additionally, we report the top features predicting attrition and weight outcomes in a series of explanatory experiments.

LGNov 9, 2021
Subtyping patients with chronic disease using longitudinal BMI patterns

Md Mozaharul Mottalib, Jessica C Jones-Smith, Bethany Sheridan et al.

Obesity is a major health problem, increasing the risk of various major chronic diseases, such as diabetes, cancer, and stroke. While the role of obesity identified by cross-sectional BMI recordings has been heavily studied, the role of BMI trajectories is much less explored. In this study, we use a machine-learning approach to subtype individuals' risk of developing 18 major chronic diseases by using their BMI trajectories extracted from a large and geographically diverse EHR dataset capturing the health status of around two million individuals for a period of six years. We define nine new interpretable and evidence-based variables based on the BMI trajectories to cluster the patients into subgroups using the k-means clustering method. We thoroughly review each cluster's characteristics in terms of demographic, socioeconomic, and physiological measurement variables to specify the distinct properties of the patients in the clusters. In our experiments, the direct relationship of obesity with diabetes, hypertension, Alzheimer's, and dementia has been re-established and distinct clusters with specific characteristics for several of the chronic diseases have been found to be conforming or complementary to the existing body of knowledge.

LGNov 4, 2021
Identifying the Leading Factors of Significant Weight Gains Using a New Rule Discovery Method

Mina Samizadeh, Jessica C Jones-Smith, Bethany Sheridan et al.

Overweight and obesity remain a major global public health concern and identifying the individualized patterns that increase the risk of future weight gains has a crucial role in preventing obesity and numerous sub-sequent diseases associated with obesity. In this work, we use a rule discovery method to study this problem, by presenting an approach that offers genuine interpretability and concurrently optimizes the accuracy(being correct often) and support (applying to many samples) of the identified patterns. Specifically, we extend an established subgroup-discovery method to generate the desired rules of type X -> Y and show how top features can be extracted from the X side, functioning as the best predictors of Y. In our obesity problem, X refers to the extracted features from very large and multi-site EHR data, and Y indicates significant weight gains. Using our method, we also extensively compare the differences and inequities in patterns across 22 strata determined by the individual's gender, age, race, insurance type, neighborhood type, and income level. Through extensive series of experiments, we show new and complementary findings regarding the predictors of future dangerous weight gains.

LGSep 18, 2020
Time-series Imputation and Prediction with Bi-Directional Generative Adversarial Networks

Mehak Gupta, Rahmatollah Beheshti

Multivariate time-series data are used in many classification and regression predictive tasks, and recurrent models have been widely used for such tasks. Most common recurrent models assume that time-series data elements are of equal length and the ordered observations are recorded at regular intervals. However, real-world time-series data have neither a similar length nor a same number of observations. They also have missing entries, which hinders the performance of predictive tasks. In this paper, we approach these issues by presenting a model for the combined task of imputing and predicting values for the irregularly observed and varying length time-series data with missing entries. Our proposed model (Bi-GAN) uses a bidirectional recurrent network in a generative adversarial setting. The generator is a bidirectional recurrent network that receives actual incomplete data and imputes the missing values. The discriminator attempts to discriminate between the actual and the imputed values in the output of the generator. Our model learns how to impute missing elements in-between (imputation) or outside of the input time steps (prediction), hence working as an effective any-time prediction tool for time-series data. Our method has three advantages to the state-of-the-art methods in the field: (a) single model can be used for both imputation and prediction tasks; (b) it can perform prediction task for time-series of varying length with missing data; (c) it does not require to know the observation and prediction time window during training which provides a flexible length of prediction window for both long-term and short-term predictions. We evaluate our model on two public datasets and on another large real-world electronic health records dataset to impute and predict body mass index (BMI) values in children and show its superior performance in both settings.

APDec 5, 2019
Obesity Prediction with EHR Data: A deep learning approach with interpretable elements

Mehak Gupta, Thao-Ly T. Phan, Timothy Bunnell et al.

Childhood obesity is a major public health challenge. Early prediction and identification of the children at a high risk of developing childhood obesity may help in engaging earlier and more effective interventions to prevent and manage obesity. Most existing predictive tools for childhood obesity primarily rely on traditional regression-type methods using only a few hand-picked features and without exploiting longitudinal patterns of children data. Deep learning methods allow the use of high-dimensional longitudinal datasets. In this paper, we present a deep learning model designed for predicting future obesity patterns from generally available items on children medical history. To do this, we use a large unaugmented electronic health records dataset from a large pediatric health system. We adopt a general LSTM network architecture which are known to better represent the longitudinal data. We train our proposed model on both dynamic and static EHR data. Our model is used to predict obesity for ages between 2-20 years. We compared the performance of our LSTM model with other machine learning methods that aggregate over sequential data and ignore temporality. To add interpretability, we have additionally included an attention layer to calculate the attention scores for the timestamps and rank features of each timestamp.

LGJul 29, 2019
Multi-modal Predictive Models of Diabetes Progression

Ramin Ramazi, Christine Perndorfer, Emily Soriano et al.

With the increasing availability of wearable devices, continuous monitoring of individuals' physiological and behavioral patterns has become significantly more accessible. Access to these continuous patterns about individuals' statuses offers an unprecedented opportunity for studying complex diseases and health conditions such as type 2 diabetes (T2D). T2D is a widely common chronic disease that its roots and progression patterns are not fully understood. Predicting the progression of T2D can inform timely and more effective interventions to prevent or manage the disease. In this study, we have used a dataset related to 63 patients with T2D that includes the data from two different types of wearable devices worn by the patients: continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) devices and activity trackers (ActiGraphs). Using this dataset, we created a model for predicting the levels of four major biomarkers related to T2D after a one-year period. We developed a wide and deep neural network and used the data from the demographic information, lab tests, and wearable sensors to create the model. The deep part of our method was developed based on the long short-term memory (LSTM) structure to process the time-series dataset collected by the wearables. In predicting the patterns of the four biomarkers, we have obtained a root mean square error of 1.67% for HBA1c, 6.22 mg/dl for HDL cholesterol, 10.46 mg/dl for LDL cholesterol, and 18.38 mg/dl for Triglyceride. Compared to existing models for studying T2D, our model offers a more comprehensive tool for combining a large variety of factors that contribute to the disease.