Stella S. R. Offner

Duo Xu, Stella Offner, Robert Gutermuth et al.

Accurately quantifying the impact of radiation feedback in star formation is challenging. To address this complex problem, we employ deep learning techniques, denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs), to predict the interstellar radiation field (ISRF) strength based on three-band dust emission at 4.5 \um, 24 \um, and 250 \um. We adopt magnetohydrodynamic simulations from the STARFORGE (STAR FORmation in Gaseous Environments) project that model star formation and giant molecular cloud (GMC) evolution. We generate synthetic dust emission maps matching observed spectral energy distributions in the Monoceros R2 (MonR2) GMC. We train DDPMs to estimate the ISRF using synthetic three-band dust emission. The dispersion between the predictions and true values is within a factor of 0.1 for the test set. We extended our assessment of the diffusion model to include new simulations with varying physical parameters. While there is a consistent offset observed in these out-of-distribution simulations, the model effectively constrains the relative intensity to within a factor of 2. Meanwhile, our analysis reveals weak correlation between the ISRF solely derived from dust temperature and the actual ISRF. We apply our trained model to predict the ISRF in MonR2, revealing a correspondence between intense ISRF, bright sources, and high dust emission, confirming the model's ability to capture ISRF variations. Our model robustly predicts radiation feedback distribution, even in complex, poorly constrained ISRF environments like those influenced by nearby star clusters. However, precise ISRF predictions require an accurate training dataset mirroring the target molecular cloud's unique physical conditions.

William Rudman, Abhishek Divekar, Kanishk Jain et al. · amazon-science

Fitting quantitative models to data is a central step in scientific workflows, yet it remains one of the least automated. Recent agent-based systems leverage language and vision-language models (VLMs) to iteratively propose and refine statistical models, but these systems struggle on more challenging modeling tasks. To address these limitations, we introduce VESTA: Visual Exploration with Statistical Tool Agents, a framework that equips VLMs with a dynamically growing exploration toolkit to guide model refinement through data transformations, hypothesis-driven visualizations, and robust statistical tests. Unlike prior systems that rely on iterative critique alone, VESTA actively explores data before and during refinement by selecting or creating diagnostic tools, which accumulate in the model's context and can be reused later. We evaluate VESTA against established baselines in three toolkit configurations: no tools, static expert-written tools, and dynamic model-written tools. To support this evaluation, we introduce DAWN (Dataset for Automated Workflows and Numerical Modeling), a benchmark targeting distribution fitting and time series modeling with varying difficulty tiers, and culminating in real-world astronomy tasks including modeling initial mass functions and gravitational-wave chirp signals. We find that VESTA's dynamic tool creation outperforms prior agentic pipelines, with the largest gains on complex and domain-specific tasks. We further show that dynamically generated tools are substantially more sophisticated than those produced by existing visual tool-creation systems, covering more diagnostic categories per function and strongly preferring visual outputs that the VLM critic can reason over directly.