Daniel Müller

h-index18
2papers
919citations

2 Papers

1.2GNOct 21, 2019
Relative Net Utility and the Saint Petersburg Paradox

Daniel Muller, Tshilidzi Marwala

The famous Saint Petersburg Paradox (St. Petersburg Paradox) shows that the theory of expected value does not capture the real-world economics of decision-making problems. Over the years, many economic theories were developed to resolve the paradox and explain gaps in the economic value theory in the evaluation of economic decisions, the subjective utility of the expected outcomes, and risk aversion as observed in the game of the St. Petersburg Paradox. In this paper, we use the concept of the relative net utility to resolve the St. Petersburg Paradox. Because the net utility concept is able to explain both behavioral economics and the St. Petersburg Paradox, it is deemed to be a universal approach to handling utility. This paper shows how the information content of the notion of net utility value allows us to capture a broader context of the impact of a decision's possible achievements. It discusses the necessary conditions that the utility function has to conform to avoid the paradox. Combining these necessary conditions allows us to define the theorem of indifference in the evaluation of economic decisions and to present the role of the relative net utility and net utility polarity in a value rational decision-making process.

4.4AINov 15, 2018
Economics of Human-AI Ecosystem: Value Bias and Lost Utility in Multi-Dimensional Gaps

Daniel Muller

In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) decision-making and autonomous systems became an integrated part of the economy, industry, and society. The evolving economy of the human-AI ecosystem raising concerns regarding the risks and values inherited in AI systems. This paper investigates the dynamics of creation and exchange of values and points out gaps in perception of cost-value, knowledge, space and time dimensions. It shows aspects of value bias in human perception of achievements and costs that encoded in AI systems. It also proposes rethinking hard goals definitions and cost-optimal problem-solving principles in the lens of effectiveness and efficiency in the development of trusted machines. The paper suggests a value-driven with cost awareness strategy and principles for problem-solving and planning of effective research progress to address real-world problems that involve diverse forms of achievements, investments, and survival scenarios.