4.8LGJul 1
Challenges of Explainability in Continual Learning for Time Series ForecastingQuentin Besnard, Emmanuel Doumard, Nicolas Labroche et al.
Deep learning models have shown strong potential for time series forecasting, yet their deployment in real-world environmental monitoring remains challenging due to non-stationary dynamics and limited explainability. In this work, we investigate explainability as a central tool for understanding continual learning in adaptive time series forecasting, with Experience Replay strategies. We study neural forecasting architectures such as PatchMixer, PatchTST and DLinear, augmented with attention-based sampling mechanisms to support model adaptation over time. Explainability is leveraged through attention rollout and gradient-based attribution methods (Grad-CAM) to analyze both predictive behavior and sampling strategies within a continual learning framework. Experiments conducted on real-world piezometric time series exhibiting heterogeneous patterns and regime shifts show that analyzing model and sampling behaviors provides valuable insights into the dynamics of the continual learning framework. Beyond predictive performance, our results highlight the challenges and opportunities of using explainability to understand continual learning behaviors, revealing how attribution patterns evolve over time and how they can inform data selection and adaptation strategies in non-stationary forecasting scenarios.
AIJun 12
Attention-based Experience Replay Framework for Continual Learning of Agnostic Time Series Forecasting ModelsQuentin Besnard, Nicolas Ragot
Deep learning has led to remarkable progress in artificial intelligence, particularly in robotics, imaging and sound processing. However, a major limitation of neural networks remains their strong dependence on large and stationary datasets. In many real-world applications, these conditions are rarely met due to evolving and dynamic environments where data distributions change over time. Continual learning aims to address this challenge by developing models capable of adapting incrementally while maintaining a balance between stability and plasticity under computational constraints. In this work, we introduce a novel framework for continual time series forecasting, designed to extend existing static forecasting models commonly used in the literature by incorporating an Experience Replay strategy guided by Attention mechanisms. This approach allows the model to adapt dynamically to new contexts while preserving prior knowledge, effectively mitigating catastrophic forgetting. The framework is evaluated on standard forecasting benchmarks as well as on a piezometric dataset exhibiting diverse temporal behaviors. Results show that our approach effectively increases or maintains predictive performance over time while reducing retraining costs and data requirements, thus facilitating the deployment of forecasting models in dynamic and real-world settings.
3.6CVOct 12, 2025
Deep semi-supervised approach based on consistency regularization and similarity learning for weeds classificationFarouq Benchallal, Adel Hafiane, Nicolas Ragot et al.
Weed species classification represents an important step for the development of automated targeting systems that allow the adoption of precision agriculture practices. To reduce costs and yield losses caused by their presence. The identification of weeds is a challenging problem due to their shared similarities with crop plants and the variability related to the differences in terms of their types. Along with the variations in relation to changes in field conditions. Moreover, to fully benefit from deep learning-based methods, large fully annotated datasets are needed. This requires time intensive and laborious process for data labeling, which represents a limitation in agricultural applications. Hence, for the aim of improving the utilization of the unlabeled data, regarding conditions of scarcity in terms of the labeled data available during the learning phase and provide robust and high classification performance. We propose a deep semi-supervised approach, that combines consistency regularization with similarity learning. Through our developed deep auto-encoder architecture, experiments realized on the DeepWeeds dataset and inference in noisy conditions demonstrated the effectiveness and robustness of our method in comparison to state-of-the-art fully supervised deep learning models. Furthermore, we carried out ablation studies for an extended analysis of our proposed joint learning strategy.