13.3OCOct 10, 2012
Risk-Sensitive Mean Field GamesHamidou Tembine, Quanyan Zhu, Tamer Basar
In this paper, we study a class of risk-sensitive mean-field stochastic differential games. We show that under appropriate regularity conditions, the mean-field value of the stochastic differential game with exponentiated integral cost functional coincides with the value function described by a Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation with an additional quadratic term. We provide an explicit solution of the mean-field best response when the instantaneous cost functions are log-quadratic and the state dynamics are affine in the control. An equivalent mean-field risk-neutral problem is formulated and the corresponding mean-field equilibria are characterized in terms of backward-forward macroscopic McKean-Vlasov equations, Fokker-Planck-Kolmogorov equations, and HJB equations. We provide numerical examples on the mean field behavior to illustrate both linear and McKean-Vlasov dynamics.
1.2SYMar 14, 2011
Prices of Anarchy, Information, and Cooperation in Differential GamesTamer Basar, Quanyan Zhu
The price of anarchy (PoA) has been widely used in static games to quantify the loss of efficiency due to noncooperation. Here, we extend this concept to a general differential games framework. In addition, we introduce the price of information (PoI) to characterize comparative game performances under different information structures, as well as the price of cooperation to capture the extent of benefit or loss a player accrues as a result of altruistic behavior. We further characterize PoA and PoI for a class of scalar linear quadratic differential games under open-loop and closed-loop feedback information structures. We also obtain some explicit bounds on these indices in a large population regime.
1.4LGMar 13, 2011
Heterogeneous Learning in Zero-Sum Stochastic Games with Incomplete InformationQuanyan Zhu, Hamidou Tembine, Tamer Basar
Learning algorithms are essential for the applications of game theory in a networking environment. In dynamic and decentralized settings where the traffic, topology and channel states may vary over time and the communication between agents is impractical, it is important to formulate and study games of incomplete information and fully distributed learning algorithms which for each agent requires a minimal amount of information regarding the remaining agents. In this paper, we address this major challenge and introduce heterogeneous learning schemes in which each agent adopts a distinct learning pattern in the context of games with incomplete information. We use stochastic approximation techniques to show that the heterogeneous learning schemes can be studied in terms of their deterministic ordinary differential equation (ODE) counterparts. Depending on the learning rates of the players, these ODEs could be different from the standard replicator dynamics, (myopic) best response (BR) dynamics, logit dynamics, and fictitious play dynamics. We apply the results to a class of security games in which the attacker and the defender adopt different learning schemes due to differences in their rationality levels and the information they acquire.
1.2GTMar 13, 2011
A Constrained Evolutionary Gaussian Multiple Access Channel GameQuanyan Zhu, Hamidou Tembine, Tamer Basar
In this paper, we formulate an evolutionary multiple access channel game with continuous-variable actions and coupled rate constraints. We characterize Nash equilibria of the game and show that the pure Nash equilibria are Pareto optimal and also resilient to deviations by coalitions of any size, i.e., they are strong equilibria. We use the concepts of price of anarchy and strong price of anarchy to study the performance of the system. The paper also addresses how to select one specifc equilibrium solution using the concepts of normalized equilibrium and evolutionary stable strategies. We examine the long-run behavior of these strategies under several classes of evolutionary game dynamics such as Brown-von Neumann-Nash dynamics, and replicator dynamics.
13.2AIMar 6, 2023
Scenario-Agnostic Zero-Trust Defense with Explainable Threshold Policy: A Meta-Learning ApproachYunfei Ge, Tao Li, Quanyan Zhu
The increasing connectivity and intricate remote access environment have made traditional perimeter-based network defense vulnerable. Zero trust becomes a promising approach to provide defense policies based on agent-centric trust evaluation. However, the limited observations of the agent's trace bring information asymmetry in the decision-making. To facilitate the human understanding of the policy and the technology adoption, one needs to create a zero-trust defense that is explainable to humans and adaptable to different attack scenarios. To this end, we propose a scenario-agnostic zero-trust defense based on Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDP) and first-order Meta-Learning using only a handful of sample scenarios. The framework leads to an explainable and generalizable trust-threshold defense policy. To address the distribution shift between empirical security datasets and reality, we extend the model to a robust zero-trust defense minimizing the worst-case loss. We use case studies and real-world attacks to corroborate the results.
Digital Twin-Enhanced Wireless Indoor Navigation: Achieving Efficient Environment Sensing with Zero-Shot Reinforcement LearningTao Li, Haozhe Lei, Hao Guo et al.
Millimeter-wave (mmWave) communication is a vital component of future generations of mobile networks, offering not only high data rates but also precise beams, making it ideal for indoor navigation in complex environments. However, the challenges of multipath propagation and noisy signal measurements in indoor spaces complicate the use of mmWave signals for navigation tasks. Traditional physics-based methods, such as following the angle of arrival (AoA), often fall short in complex scenarios, highlighting the need for more sophisticated approaches. Digital twins, as virtual replicas of physical environments, offer a powerful tool for simulating and optimizing mmWave signal propagation in such settings. By creating detailed, physics-based models of real-world spaces, digital twins enable the training of machine learning algorithms in virtual environments, reducing the costs and limitations of physical testing. Despite their advantages, current machine learning models trained in digital twins often overfit specific virtual environments and require costly retraining when applied to new scenarios. In this paper, we propose a Physics-Informed Reinforcement Learning (PIRL) approach that leverages the physical insights provided by digital twins to shape the reinforcement learning (RL) reward function. By integrating physics-based metrics such as signal strength, AoA, and path reflections into the learning process, PIRL enables efficient learning and improved generalization to new environments without retraining. Our experiments demonstrate that the proposed PIRL, supported by digital twin simulations, outperforms traditional heuristics and standard RL models, achieving zero-shot generalization in unseen environments and offering a cost-effective, scalable solution for wireless indoor navigation.
1.2GTMar 13, 2011
Evolutionary Games for Multiple Access ControlQuanyan Zhu, Hamidou Tembine, Tamer Basar
In this paper, we formulate an evolutionarymultiple access control game with continuousvariable actions and coupled constraints. We characterize equilibria of the game and show that the pure equilibria are Pareto optimal and also resilient to deviations by coalitions of any size, i.e., they are strong equilibria. We use the concepts of price of anarchy and strong price of anarchy to study the performance of the system. The paper also addresses how to select one specific equilibrium solution using the concepts of normalized equilibrium and evolutionarily stable strategies. We examine the long-run behavior of these strategies under several classes of evolutionary game dynamics, such as Brown-von Neumann-Nash dynamics, Smith dynamics and replicator dynamics. In addition, we examine correlated equilibrium for the single-receiver model. Correlated strategies are based on signaling structures before making decisions on rates. We then focus on evolutionary games for hybrid additive white Gaussian noise multiple access channel with multiple users and multiple receivers, where each user chooses a rate and splits it over the receivers. Users have coupled constraints determined by the capacity regions. Building upon the static game, we formulate a system of hybrid evolutionary game dynamics using G-function dynamics and Smith dynamics on rate control and channel selection, respectively. We show that the evolving game has an equilibrium and illustrate these dynamics with numerical examples.
9.8LGApr 3, 2023
Is Stochastic Mirror Descent Vulnerable to Adversarial Delay Attacks? A Traffic Assignment Resilience StudyYunian Pan, Tao Li, Quanyan Zhu
\textit{Intelligent Navigation Systems} (INS) are exposed to an increasing number of informational attack vectors, which often intercept through the communication channels between the INS and the transportation network during the data collecting process. To measure the resilience of INS, we use the concept of a Wardrop Non-Equilibrium Solution (WANES), which is characterized by the probabilistic outcome of learning within a bounded number of interactions. By using concentration arguments, we have discovered that any bounded feedback delaying attack only degrades the systematic performance up to order $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{{d^3}{T^{-1}}})$ along the traffic flow trajectory within the Delayed Mirror Descent (DMD) online-learning framework. This degradation in performance can occur with only mild assumptions imposed. Our result implies that learning-based INS infrastructures can achieve Wardrop Non-equilibrium even when experiencing a certain period of disruption in the information structure. These findings provide valuable insights for designing defense mechanisms against possible jamming attacks across different layers of the transportation ecosystem.
10.7LGJun 23, 2023
A First Order Meta Stackelberg Method for Robust Federated LearningYunian Pan, Tao Li, Henger Li et al.
Previous research has shown that federated learning (FL) systems are exposed to an array of security risks. Despite the proposal of several defensive strategies, they tend to be non-adaptive and specific to certain types of attacks, rendering them ineffective against unpredictable or adaptive threats. This work models adversarial federated learning as a Bayesian Stackelberg Markov game (BSMG) to capture the defender's incomplete information of various attack types. We propose meta-Stackelberg learning (meta-SL), a provably efficient meta-learning algorithm, to solve the equilibrium strategy in BSMG, leading to an adaptable FL defense. We demonstrate that meta-SL converges to the first-order $\varepsilon$-equilibrium point in $O(\varepsilon^{-2})$ gradient iterations, with $O(\varepsilon^{-4})$ samples needed per iteration, matching the state of the art. Empirical evidence indicates that our meta-Stackelberg framework performs exceptionally well against potent model poisoning and backdoor attacks of an uncertain nature.
8.0SYAug 5, 2024
Multi-level Traffic-Responsive Tilt Camera Surveillance through Predictive Correlated Online LearningTao Li, Zilin Bian, Haozhe Lei et al.
In urban traffic management, the primary challenge of dynamically and efficiently monitoring traffic conditions is compounded by the insufficient utilization of thousands of surveillance cameras along the intelligent transportation system. This paper introduces the multi-level Traffic-responsive Tilt Camera surveillance system (TTC-X), a novel framework designed for dynamic and efficient monitoring and management of traffic in urban networks. By leveraging widely deployed pan-tilt-cameras (PTCs), TTC-X overcomes the limitations of a fixed field of view in traditional surveillance systems by providing mobilized and 360-degree coverage. The innovation of TTC-X lies in the integration of advanced machine learning modules, including a detector-predictor-controller structure, with a novel Predictive Correlated Online Learning (PiCOL) methodology and the Spatial-Temporal Graph Predictor (STGP) for real-time traffic estimation and PTC control. The TTC-X is tested and evaluated under three experimental scenarios (e.g., maximum traffic flow capture, dynamic route planning, traffic state estimation) based on a simulation environment calibrated using real-world traffic data in Brooklyn, New York. The experimental results showed that TTC-X captured over 60\% total number of vehicles at the network level, dynamically adjusted its route recommendation in reaction to unexpected full-lane closure events, and reconstructed link-level traffic states with best MAE less than 1.25 vehicle/hour. Demonstrating scalability, cost-efficiency, and adaptability, TTC-X emerges as a powerful solution for urban traffic management in both cyber-physical and real-world environments.
5.1SOC-PHJul 3, 2024
Digital Twin-based Driver Risk-Aware Intelligent Mobility Analytics for Urban Transportation ManagementTao Li, Zilin Bian, Haozhe Lei et al.
Traditional mobility management strategies emphasize macro-level mobility oversight from traffic-sensing infrastructures, often overlooking safety risks that directly affect road users. To address this, we propose a Digital Twin-based Driver Risk-Aware Intelligent Mobility Analytics (DT-DIMA) system. The DT-DIMA system integrates real-time traffic information from pan-tilt-cameras (PTCs), synchronizes this data into a digital twin to accurately replicate the physical world, and predicts network-wide mobility and safety risks in real time. The system's innovation lies in its integration of spatial-temporal modeling, simulation, and online control modules. Tested and evaluated under normal traffic conditions and incidental situations (e.g., unexpected accidents, pre-planned work zones) in a simulated testbed in Brooklyn, New York, DT-DIMA demonstrated mean absolute percentage errors (MAPEs) ranging from 8.40% to 15.11% in estimating network-level traffic volume and MAPEs from 0.85% to 12.97% in network-level safety risk prediction. In addition, the highly accurate safety risk prediction enables PTCs to preemptively monitor road segments with high driving risks before incidents take place. Such proactive PTC surveillance creates around a 5-minute lead time in capturing traffic incidents. The DT-DIMA system enables transportation managers to understand mobility not only in terms of traffic patterns but also driver-experienced safety risks, allowing for proactive resource allocation in response to various traffic situations. To the authors' best knowledge, DT-DIMA is the first urban mobility management system that considers both mobility and safety risks based on digital twin architecture.
Sampling Attacks on Meta Reinforcement Learning: A Minimax Formulation and Complexity AnalysisTao Li, Haozhe Lei, Quanyan Zhu
Meta reinforcement learning (meta RL), as a combination of meta-learning ideas and reinforcement learning (RL), enables the agent to adapt to different tasks using a few samples. However, this sampling-based adaptation also makes meta RL vulnerable to adversarial attacks. By manipulating the reward feedback from sampling processes in meta RL, an attacker can mislead the agent into building wrong knowledge from training experience, which deteriorates the agent's performance when dealing with different tasks after adaptation. This paper provides a game-theoretical underpinning for understanding this type of security risk. In particular, we formally define the sampling attack model as a Stackelberg game between the attacker and the agent, which yields a minimax formulation. It leads to two online attack schemes: Intermittent Attack and Persistent Attack, which enable the attacker to learn an optimal sampling attack, defined by an $ε$-first-order stationary point, within $\mathcal{O}(ε^{-2})$ iterations. These attack schemes freeride the learning progress concurrently without extra interactions with the environment. By corroborating the convergence results with numerical experiments, we observe that a minor effort of the attacker can significantly deteriorate the learning performance, and the minimax approach can also help robustify the meta RL algorithms.
1.2GTDec 22, 2022
Commitment with Signaling under Double-sided Information AsymmetryTao Li, Quanyan Zhu
Information asymmetry in games enables players with the information advantage to manipulate others' beliefs by strategically revealing information to other players. This work considers a double-sided information asymmetry in a Bayesian Stackelberg game, where the leader's realized action, sampled from the mixed strategy commitment, is hidden from the follower. In contrast, the follower holds private information about his payoff. Given asymmetric information on both sides, an important question arises: \emph{Does the leader's information advantage outweigh the follower's?} We answer this question affirmatively in this work, where we demonstrate that by adequately designing a signaling device that reveals partial information regarding the leader's realized action to the follower, the leader can achieve a higher expected utility than that without signaling. Moreover, unlike previous works on the Bayesian Stackelberg game where mathematical programming tools are utilized, we interpret the leader's commitment as a probability measure over the belief space. Such a probabilistic language greatly simplifies the analysis and allows an indirect signaling scheme, leading to a geometric characterization of the equilibrium under the proposed game model.
3.3GTApr 5, 2022
ZETAR: Modeling and Computational Design of Strategic and Adaptive Compliance PoliciesLinan Huang, Quanyan Zhu
Compliance management plays an important role in mitigating insider threats. Incentive design is a proactive and non-invasive approach to achieving compliance by aligning an insider's incentive with the defender's security objective, which motivates (rather than commands) an insider to act in the organization's interests. Controlling insiders' incentives for population-level compliance is challenging because they are neither precisely known nor directly controllable. To this end, we develop ZETAR, a zero-trust audit and recommendation framework, to provide a quantitative approach to model insiders' incentives and design customized recommendation policies to improve their compliance. We formulate primal and dual convex programs to compute the optimal bespoke recommendation policies. We create the theoretical underpinning for understanding trust, compliance, and satisfaction, which leads to scoring mechanisms of how compliant and persuadable an insider is. After classifying insiders as malicious, self-interested, or amenable based on their incentive misalignment levels with the defender, we establish bespoke information disclosure principles for these insiders of different incentive categories. We identify the policy separability principle and the set convexity, which enable finite-step algorithms to efficiently learn the Completely Trustworthy (CT) policy set when insiders' incentives are unknown. Finally, we present a case study to corroborate the design. Our results show that ZETAR can well adapt to insiders with different risk and compliance attitudes and significantly improve compliance. Moreover, trustworthy recommendations can provably promote cyber hygiene and insiders' satisfaction.
2.3SYMar 11, 2022
Reinforcement Learning for Linear Quadratic Control is Vulnerable Under Cost ManipulationYunhan Huang, Quanyan Zhu
In this work, we study the deception of a Linear-Quadratic-Gaussian (LQG) agent by manipulating the cost signals. We show that a small falsification of the cost parameters will only lead to a bounded change in the optimal policy. The bound is linear on the amount of falsification the attacker can apply to the cost parameters. We propose an attack model where the attacker aims to mislead the agent into learning a `nefarious' policy by intentionally falsifying the cost parameters. We formulate the attack's problem as a convex optimization problem and develop necessary and sufficient conditions to check the achievability of the attacker's goal. We showcase the adversarial manipulation on two types of LQG learners: the batch RL learner and the other is the adaptive dynamic programming (ADP) learner. Our results demonstrate that with only 2.296% of falsification on the cost data, the attacker misleads the batch RL into learning the 'nefarious' policy that leads the vehicle to a dangerous position. The attacker can also gradually trick the ADP learner into learning the same `nefarious' policy by consistently feeding the learner a falsified cost signal that stays close to the actual cost signal. The paper aims to raise people's awareness of the security threats faced by RL-enabled control systems.
1.2SYOct 17, 2017
Optimal Control of Interdependent Epidemics in Complex NetworksJuntao Chen, Rui Zhang, Quanyan Zhu
Optimal control of interdependent epidemics spreading over complex networks is a critical issue. We first establish a framework to capture the coupling between two epidemics, and then analyze the system's equilibrium states by categorizing them into three classes, and deriving their stability conditions. The designed control strategy globally optimizes the trade-off between the control cost and the severity of epidemics in the network. A gradient descent algorithm based on a fixed point iterative scheme is proposed to find the optimal control strategy. The optimal control will lead to switching between equilibria of the interdependent epidemics network. Case studies are used to corroborate the theoretical results finally.
2.2RODec 17, 2022
Cognitive Level-$k$ Meta-Learning for Safe and Pedestrian-Aware Autonomous DrivingHaozhe Lei, Quanyan Zhu
The potential market for modern self-driving cars is enormous, as they are developing remarkably rapidly. At the same time, however, accidents of pedestrian fatalities caused by autonomous driving have been recorded in the case of street crossing. To ensure traffic safety in self-driving environments and respond to vehicle-human interaction challenges such as jaywalking, we propose Level-$k$ Meta Reinforcement Learning (LK-MRL) algorithm. It takes into account the cognitive hierarchy of pedestrian responses and enables self-driving vehicles to adapt to various human behaviors. %which takes into account pedestrian responses while learning the optimal strategies. As a self-driving vehicle algorithm, the LK-MRL combines level-$k$ thinking into MAML to prepare for heterogeneous pedestrians and improve intersection safety based on the combination of meta-reinforcement learning and human cognitive hierarchy framework. We evaluate the algorithm in two cognitive confrontation hierarchy scenarios in an urban traffic simulator and illustrate its role in ensuring road safety by demonstrating its capability of conjectural and higher-level reasoning.
5.6ROMay 25
RCSP: Risk-Sensitive Conjectural Scenario Planning for Safe Dynamic Robot NavigationZhengye Han, Quanyan Zhu
Mobile robots can fail before they collide: a velocity that is safe now may commit the robot to a passage that moving obstacles will soon close. We study this predictive near-miss commitment problem and propose Risk-Sensitive Conjectural Scenario Planning (RCSP), a planning layer that evaluates candidate commands against plausible short-horizon obstacle futures. RCSP maintains a lightweight belief over local motion conjectures, samples future interactions, penalizes high-risk tails, and executes through a local safety check. In controlled MuJoCo bottleneck tasks, the RCSP planner reaches the goal without collisions and yields higher secondary safety and path-quality point estimates than a non-adaptive predictor, with additional latency. In ROS2/Gazebo, adding the local safety layer to a standard Nav2 stack reduces dynamic near-miss failures. On official DynaBARN/Jackal transfer, tuned DWA and TEB remain stronger on strict benchmark success, revealing the boundary of the approach. These simulation results position RCSP as a predictive-risk module that complements existing navigation stacks in dynamic bottleneck regimes.
6.6AIApr 21
Toward Reliable Design of LLM-Enabled Agentic Workflows: Optimizing Latency-Reliability-Cost TradeoffsYa-Ting Yang, Quanyan Zhu
Modern AI systems increasingly rely on workflows composed of multiple interacting agents, some powered by large language models (LLMs) and others by conventional computational modules. This paper analyzes the fundamental tradeoffs between latency, reliability, and cost in LLM-enabled agentic workflows. We introduce performance models for both LLM and non-LLM agents that capture the relationship between computational effort and output quality, incorporating the impact of reasoning and output tokens for LLM agents using a parametric exponential reliability function. Then, we study the design of sequential workflows under latency and cost constraints. Main results include a water-filling token allocation policy and characterizations of optimal workflow reliability in terms of shadow prices.
6.3GTMar 18
Actionable Recourse in Competitive Environments: A Dynamic Game of Endogenous SelectionYa-Ting Yang, Quanyan Zhu
Actionable recourse studies whether individuals can modify feasible features to overturn unfavorable outcomes produced by AI-assisted decision-support systems. However, many such systems operate in competitive settings, such as admission or hiring, where only a fraction of candidates can succeed. A fundamental question arises: what happens when actionable recourse is available to everyone in a competitive environment? This study proposes a framework that models recourse as a strategic interaction among candidates under a risk-based selection rule. Rejected individuals exert effort to improve actionable features along directions implied by the decision rule, while the success benchmark evolves endogenously as many candidates adjust simultaneously. This creates endogenous selection, in which both the decision rule and the selection threshold are determined by the population's current feature state. This interaction generates a closed-loop dynamical system linking candidate selection and strategic recourse. We show that the initially selected candidates determine both the benchmark of success and the direction of improvement, thereby amplifying initial disparities and producing persistent performance gaps across the population.
2.1AIJun 1, 2023
AI Liability Insurance With an Example in AI-Powered E-diagnosis SystemYunfei Ge, Quanyan Zhu
Artificial Intelligence (AI) has received an increasing amount of attention in multiple areas. The uncertainties and risks in AI-powered systems have created reluctance in their wild adoption. As an economic solution to compensate for potential damages, AI liability insurance is a promising market to enhance the integration of AI into daily life. In this work, we use an AI-powered E-diagnosis system as an example to study AI liability insurance. We provide a quantitative risk assessment model with evidence-based numerical analysis. We discuss the insurability criteria for AI technologies and suggest necessary adjustments to accommodate the features of AI products. We show that AI liability insurance can act as a regulatory mechanism to incentivize compliant behaviors and serve as a certificate of high-quality AI systems. Furthermore, we suggest premium adjustment to reflect the dynamic evolution of the inherent uncertainty in AI. Moral hazard problems are discussed and suggestions for AI liability insurance are provided.
5.3LGOct 6, 2023
Self-Confirming Transformer for Belief-Conditioned Adaptation in Offline Multi-Agent Reinforcement LearningTao Li, Juan Guevara, Xinhong Xie et al.
Offline reinforcement learning (RL) suffers from the distribution shift between the offline dataset and the online environment. In multi-agent RL (MARL), this distribution shift may arise from the nonstationary opponents in the online testing who display distinct behaviors from those recorded in the offline dataset. Hence, the key to the broader deployment of offline MARL is the online adaptation to nonstationary opponents. Recent advances in foundation models, e.g., large language models, have demonstrated the generalization ability of the transformer, an emerging neural network architecture, in sequence modeling, of which offline RL is a special case. One naturally wonders \textit{whether offline-trained transformer-based RL policies adapt to nonstationary opponents online}. We propose a novel auto-regressive training to equip transformer agents with online adaptability based on the idea of self-augmented pre-conditioning. The transformer agent first learns offline to predict the opponent's action based on past observations. When deployed online, such a fictitious opponent play, referred to as the belief, is fed back to the transformer, together with other environmental feedback, to generate future actions conditional on the belief. Motivated by self-confirming equilibrium in game theory, the training loss consists of belief consistency loss, requiring the beliefs to match the opponent's actual actions and best response loss, mandating the agent to behave optimally under the belief. We evaluate the online adaptability of the proposed self-confirming transformer (SCT) in a structured environment, iterated prisoner's dilemma games, to demonstrate SCT's belief consistency and equilibrium behaviors as well as more involved multi-particle environments to showcase its superior performance against nonstationary opponents over prior transformers and offline MARL baselines.
4.2CRSep 21, 2024
MEGA-PT: A Meta-Game Framework for Agile Penetration TestingYunfei Ge, Quanyan Zhu
Penetration testing is an essential means of proactive defense in the face of escalating cybersecurity incidents. Traditional manual penetration testing methods are time-consuming, resource-intensive, and prone to human errors. Current trends in automated penetration testing are also impractical, facing significant challenges such as the curse of dimensionality, scalability issues, and lack of adaptability to network changes. To address these issues, we propose MEGA-PT, a meta-game penetration testing framework, featuring micro tactic games for node-level local interactions and a macro strategy process for network-wide attack chains. The micro- and macro-level modeling enables distributed, adaptive, collaborative, and fast penetration testing. MEGA-PT offers agile solutions for various security schemes, including optimal local penetration plans, purple teaming solutions, and risk assessment, providing fundamental principles to guide future automated penetration testing. Our experiments demonstrate the effectiveness and agility of our model by providing improved defense strategies and adaptability to changes at both local and network levels.
5.0ROSep 5, 2023
Neurosymbolic Meta-Reinforcement Lookahead Learning Achieves Safe Self-Driving in Non-Stationary EnvironmentsHaozhe Lei, Quanyan Zhu
In the area of learning-driven artificial intelligence advancement, the integration of machine learning (ML) into self-driving (SD) technology stands as an impressive engineering feat. Yet, in real-world applications outside the confines of controlled laboratory scenarios, the deployment of self-driving technology assumes a life-critical role, necessitating heightened attention from researchers towards both safety and efficiency. To illustrate, when a self-driving model encounters an unfamiliar environment in real-time execution, the focus must not solely revolve around enhancing its anticipated performance; equal consideration must be given to ensuring its execution or real-time adaptation maintains a requisite level of safety. This study introduces an algorithm for online meta-reinforcement learning, employing lookahead symbolic constraints based on \emph{Neurosymbolic Meta-Reinforcement Lookahead Learning} (NUMERLA). NUMERLA proposes a lookahead updating mechanism that harmonizes the efficiency of online adaptations with the overarching goal of ensuring long-term safety. Experimental results demonstrate NUMERLA confers the self-driving agent with the capacity for real-time adaptability, leading to safe and self-adaptive driving under non-stationary urban human-vehicle interaction scenarios.
Learning from Response not Preference: A Stackelberg Approach for LLM Detoxification using Non-parallel DataXinhong Xie, Tao Li, Quanyan Zhu
Text detoxification, a variant of style transfer tasks, finds useful applications in online social media. This work presents a fine-tuning method that only uses non-parallel data to turn large language models (LLM) into a detoxification rewritter. We model the fine-tuning process as a Stackelberg game between an LLM (leader) and a toxicity screener (follower), which is a binary style classifier (toxic or non-toxic). The LLM aims to align its preference according to the screener and generate paraphases passing the screening. The primary challenge of non-parallel data fine-tuning is incomplete preference. In the case of unsuccessful paraphrases, the classifier cannot establish a preference between the input and paraphrase, as they belong to the same toxic style. Hence, preference-alignment fine-tuning methods, such as direct preference optimization (DPO), no longer apply. To address the challenge of incomplete preference, we propose Stackelberg response optimization (SRO), adapted from DPO, to enable the LLM to learn from the follower's response. The gist is that SRO decreases the likelihood of generating the paraphrase if it fails the follower's screening while performing DPO on the pair of the toxic input and its paraphrase when the latter passes the screening. Experiments indicate that the SRO-fine-tunned LLM achieves satisfying performance comparable to state-of-the-art models regarding style accuracy, content similarity, and fluency. The overall detoxification performance surpasses other computing methods and matches the human reference. Additional empirical evidence suggests that SRO is sensitive to the screener's feedback, and a slight perturbation leads to a significant performance drop. We release the code and LLM models at \url{https://github.com/XXXinhong/Detoxification_LLM}.
10.8GTFeb 29, 2024
Conjectural Online Learning with First-order Beliefs in Asymmetric Information Stochastic GamesTao Li, Kim Hammar, Rolf Stadler et al.
Asymmetric information stochastic games (AISGs) arise in many complex socio-technical systems, such as cyber-physical systems and IT infrastructures. Existing computational methods for AISGs are primarily offline and can not adapt to equilibrium deviations. Further, current methods are limited to particular information structures to avoid belief hierarchies. Considering these limitations, we propose conjectural online learning (COL), an online learning method under generic information structures in AISGs. COL uses a forecaster-actor-critic (FAC) architecture, where subjective forecasts are used to conjecture the opponents' strategies within a lookahead horizon, and Bayesian learning is used to calibrate the conjectures. To adapt strategies to nonstationary environments based on information feedback, COL uses online rollout with cost function approximation (actor-critic). We prove that the conjectures produced by COL are asymptotically consistent with the information feedback in the sense of a relaxed Bayesian consistency. We also prove that the empirical strategy profile induced by COL converges to the Berk-Nash equilibrium, a solution concept characterizing rationality under subjectivity. Experimental results from an intrusion response use case demonstrate COL's {faster convergence} over state-of-the-art reinforcement learning methods against nonstationary attacks.
Automated Security Response through Online Learning with Adaptive ConjecturesKim Hammar, Tao Li, Rolf Stadler et al.
We study automated security response for an IT infrastructure and formulate the interaction between an attacker and a defender as a partially observed, non-stationary game. We relax the standard assumption that the game model is correctly specified and consider that each player has a probabilistic conjecture about the model, which may be misspecified in the sense that the true model has probability 0. This formulation allows us to capture uncertainty and misconception about the infrastructure and the intents of the players. To learn effective game strategies online, we design Conjectural Online Learning (COL), a novel method where a player iteratively adapts its conjecture using Bayesian learning and updates its strategy through rollout. We prove that the conjectures converge to best fits, and we provide a bound on the performance improvement that rollout enables with a conjectured model. To characterize the steady state of the game, we propose a variant of the Berk-Nash equilibrium. We present COL through an advanced persistent threat use case. Testbed evaluations show that COL produces effective security strategies that adapt to a changing environment. We also find that COL enables faster convergence than current reinforcement learning techniques.
13.4LGOct 22, 2024
Meta Stackelberg Game: Robust Federated Learning against Adaptive and Mixed Poisoning AttacksTao Li, Henger Li, Yunian Pan et al.
Federated learning (FL) is susceptible to a range of security threats. Although various defense mechanisms have been proposed, they are typically non-adaptive and tailored to specific types of attacks, leaving them insufficient in the face of multiple uncertain, unknown, and adaptive attacks employing diverse strategies. This work formulates adversarial federated learning under a mixture of various attacks as a Bayesian Stackelberg Markov game, based on which we propose the meta-Stackelberg defense composed of pre-training and online adaptation. {The gist is to simulate strong attack behavior using reinforcement learning (RL-based attacks) in pre-training and then design meta-RL-based defense to combat diverse and adaptive attacks.} We develop an efficient meta-learning approach to solve the game, leading to a robust and adaptive FL defense. Theoretically, our meta-learning algorithm, meta-Stackelberg learning, provably converges to the first-order $\varepsilon$-meta-equilibrium point in $O(\varepsilon^{-2})$ gradient iterations with $O(\varepsilon^{-4})$ samples per iteration. Experiments show that our meta-Stackelberg framework performs superbly against strong model poisoning and backdoor attacks of uncertain and unknown types.
5.8CROct 31, 2024
ADAPT: A Game-Theoretic and Neuro-Symbolic Framework for Automated Distributed Adaptive Penetration TestingHaozhe Lei, Yunfei Ge, Quanyan Zhu
The integration of AI into modern critical infrastructure systems, such as healthcare, has introduced new vulnerabilities that can significantly impact workflow, efficiency, and safety. Additionally, the increased connectivity has made traditional human-driven penetration testing insufficient for assessing risks and developing remediation strategies. Consequently, there is a pressing need for a distributed, adaptive, and efficient automated penetration testing framework that not only identifies vulnerabilities but also provides countermeasures to enhance security posture. This work presents ADAPT, a game-theoretic and neuro-symbolic framework for automated distributed adaptive penetration testing, specifically designed to address the unique cybersecurity challenges of AI-enabled healthcare infrastructure networks. We use a healthcare system case study to illustrate the methodologies within ADAPT. The proposed solution enables a learning-based risk assessment. Numerical experiments are used to demonstrate effective countermeasures against various tactical techniques employed by adversarial AI.
15.7CRJul 14, 2025
Game Theory Meets LLM and Agentic AI: Reimagining Cybersecurity for the Age of Intelligent ThreatsQuanyan Zhu
Protecting cyberspace requires not only advanced tools but also a shift in how we reason about threats, trust, and autonomy. Traditional cybersecurity methods rely on manual responses and brittle heuristics. To build proactive and intelligent defense systems, we need integrated theoretical frameworks and software tools. Game theory provides a rigorous foundation for modeling adversarial behavior, designing strategic defenses, and enabling trust in autonomous systems. Meanwhile, software tools process cyber data, visualize attack surfaces, verify compliance, and suggest mitigations. Yet a disconnect remains between theory and practical implementation. The rise of Large Language Models (LLMs) and agentic AI offers a new path to bridge this gap. LLM-powered agents can operationalize abstract strategies into real-world decisions. Conversely, game theory can inform the reasoning and coordination of these agents across complex workflows. LLMs also challenge classical game-theoretic assumptions, such as perfect rationality or static payoffs, prompting new models aligned with cognitive and computational realities. This co-evolution promises richer theoretical foundations and novel solution concepts. Agentic AI also reshapes software design: systems must now be modular, adaptive, and trust-aware from the outset. This chapter explores the intersection of game theory, agentic AI, and cybersecurity. We review key game-theoretic frameworks (e.g., static, dynamic, Bayesian, and signaling games) and solution concepts. We then examine how LLM agents can enhance cyber defense and introduce LLM-driven games that embed reasoning into AI agents. Finally, we explore multi-agent workflows and coordination games, outlining how this convergence fosters secure, intelligent, and adaptive cyber systems.
12.0CRMay 1, 2025
From Texts to Shields: Convergence of Large Language Models and CybersecurityTao Li, Ya-Ting Yang, Yunian Pan et al.
This report explores the convergence of large language models (LLMs) and cybersecurity, synthesizing interdisciplinary insights from network security, artificial intelligence, formal methods, and human-centered design. It examines emerging applications of LLMs in software and network security, 5G vulnerability analysis, and generative security engineering. The report highlights the role of agentic LLMs in automating complex tasks, improving operational efficiency, and enabling reasoning-driven security analytics. Socio-technical challenges associated with the deployment of LLMs -- including trust, transparency, and ethical considerations -- can be addressed through strategies such as human-in-the-loop systems, role-specific training, and proactive robustness testing. The report further outlines critical research challenges in ensuring interpretability, safety, and fairness in LLM-based systems, particularly in high-stakes domains. By integrating technical advances with organizational and societal considerations, this report presents a forward-looking research agenda for the secure and effective adoption of LLMs in cybersecurity.
9.6AIJul 12, 2025
LLM-Stackelberg Games: Conjectural Reasoning Equilibria and Their Applications to SpearphishingQuanyan Zhu
We introduce the framework of LLM-Stackelberg games, a class of sequential decision-making models that integrate large language models (LLMs) into strategic interactions between a leader and a follower. Departing from classical Stackelberg assumptions of complete information and rational agents, our formulation allows each agent to reason through structured prompts, generate probabilistic behaviors via LLMs, and adapt their strategies through internal cognition and belief updates. We define two equilibrium concepts: reasoning and behavioral equilibrium, which aligns an agent's internal prompt-based reasoning with observable behavior, and conjectural reasoning equilibrium, which accounts for epistemic uncertainty through parameterized models over an opponent's response. These layered constructs capture bounded rationality, asymmetric information, and meta-cognitive adaptation. We illustrate the framework through a spearphishing case study, where a sender and a recipient engage in a deception game using structured reasoning prompts. This example highlights the cognitive richness and adversarial potential of LLM-mediated interactions. Our results show that LLM-Stackelberg games provide a powerful paradigm for modeling decision-making in domains such as cybersecurity, misinformation, and recommendation systems.
7.1LGJan 26, 2025
Improving Network Threat Detection by Knowledge Graph, Large Language Model, and Imbalanced LearningLili Zhang, Quanyan Zhu, Herman Ray et al.
Network threat detection has been challenging due to the complexities of attack activities and the limitation of historical threat data to learn from. To help enhance the existing practices of using analytics, machine learning, and artificial intelligence methods to detect the network threats, we propose an integrated modelling framework, where Knowledge Graph is used to analyze the users' activity patterns, Imbalanced Learning techniques are used to prune and weigh Knowledge Graph, and LLM is used to retrieve and interpret the users' activities from Knowledge Graph. The proposed framework is applied to Agile Threat Detection through Online Sequential Learning. The preliminary results show the improved threat capture rate by 3%-4% and the increased interpretabilities of risk predictions based on the users' activities.
2.3AINov 19, 2024
The Game-Theoretic Symbiosis of Trust and AI in Networked SystemsYunfei Ge, Quanyan Zhu
This chapter explores the symbiotic relationship between Artificial Intelligence (AI) and trust in networked systems, focusing on how these two elements reinforce each other in strategic cybersecurity contexts. AI's capabilities in data processing, learning, and real-time response offer unprecedented support for managing trust in dynamic, complex networks. However, the successful integration of AI also hinges on the trustworthiness of AI systems themselves. Using a game-theoretic framework, this chapter presents approaches to trust evaluation, the strategic role of AI in cybersecurity, and governance frameworks that ensure responsible AI deployment. We investigate how trust, when dynamically managed through AI, can form a resilient security ecosystem. By examining trust as both an AI output and an AI requirement, this chapter sets the foundation for a positive feedback loop where AI enhances network security and the trust placed in AI systems fosters their adoption.
10.7CRMar 14, 2024
Symbiotic Game and Foundation Models for Cyber Deception Operations in Strategic Cyber WarfareTao Li, Quanyan Zhu
We are currently facing unprecedented cyber warfare with the rapid evolution of tactics, increasing asymmetry of intelligence, and the growing accessibility of hacking tools. In this landscape, cyber deception emerges as a critical component of our defense strategy against increasingly sophisticated attacks. This chapter aims to highlight the pivotal role of game-theoretic models and foundation models (FMs) in analyzing, designing, and implementing cyber deception tactics. Game models (GMs) serve as a foundational framework for modeling diverse adversarial interactions, allowing us to encapsulate both adversarial knowledge and domain-specific insights. Meanwhile, FMs serve as the building blocks for creating tailored machine learning models suited to given applications. By leveraging the synergy between GMs and FMs, we can advance proactive and automated cyber defense mechanisms by not only securing our networks against attacks but also enhancing their resilience against well-planned operations. This chapter discusses the games at the tactical, operational, and strategic levels of warfare, delves into the symbiotic relationship between these methodologies, and explores relevant applications where such a framework can make a substantial impact in cybersecurity. The chapter discusses the promising direction of the multi-agent neurosymbolic conjectural learning (MANSCOL), which allows the defender to predict adversarial behaviors, design adaptive defensive deception tactics, and synthesize knowledge for the operational level synthesis and adaptation. FMs serve as pivotal tools across various functions for MANSCOL, including reinforcement learning, knowledge assimilation, formation of conjectures, and contextual representation. This chapter concludes with a discussion of the challenges associated with FMs and their application in the domain of cybersecurity.
4.0ROFeb 3, 2022
Stackelberg Strategic Guidance for Heterogeneous Robots CollaborationYuhan Zhao, Baichuan Huang, Jingjin Yu et al.
In this study, we explore the application of game theory, in particular Stackelberg games, to address the issue of effective coordination strategy generation for heterogeneous robots with one-way communication. To that end, focusing on the task of multi-object rearrangement, we develop a theoretical and algorithmic framework that provides strategic guidance for a pair of robot arms, a leader and a follower where the leader has a model of the follower's decision-making process, through the computation of a feedback Stackelberg equilibrium. With built-in tolerance of model uncertainty, the strategic guidance generated by our planning algorithm not only improves the overall efficiency in solving the rearrangement tasks, but is also robust to common pitfalls in collaboration, e.g., chattering.
5.2CRJan 27, 2022
Accountability and Insurance in IoT Supply ChainYunfei Ge, Quanyan Zhu
Supply chain security has become a growing concern in security risk analysis of the Internet of Things (IoT) systems. Their highly connected structures have significantly enlarged the attack surface, making it difficult to track the source of the risk posed by malicious or compromised suppliers. This chapter presents a system-scientific framework to study the accountability in IoT supply chains and provides a holistic risk analysis technologically and socio-economically. We develop stylized models and quantitative approaches to evaluate the accountability of the suppliers. Two case studies are used to illustrate accountability measures for scenarios with single and multiple agents. Finally, we present the contract design and cyber insurance as economic solutions to mitigate supply chain risks. They are incentive-compatible mechanisms that encourage truth-telling of the supplier and facilitate reliable accountability investigation for the buyer.
1.2GTJan 16, 2022
Bayesian Promised Persuasion: Dynamic Forward-Looking Multiagent Delegation with Informational BurningTao Zhang, Quanyan Zhu
This work studies a dynamic mechanism design problem in which a principal delegates decision makings to a group of privately-informed agents without the monetary transfer or burning. We consider that the principal privately possesses complete knowledge about the state transitions and study how she can use her private observation to support the incentive compatibility of the delegation via informational burning, a process we refer to as the looking-forward persuasion. The delegation mechanism is formulated in which the agents form belief hierarchies due to the persuasion and play a dynamic Bayesian game. We propose a novel randomized mechanism, known as Bayesian promised delegation (BPD), in which the periodic incentive compatibility is guaranteed by persuasions and promises of future delegations. We show that the BPD can achieve the same optimal social welfare as the original mechanism in stationary Markov perfect Bayesian equilibria. A revelation-principle-like design regime is established to show that the persuasion with belief hierarchies can be fully characterized by correlating the randomization of the agents' local BPD mechanisms with the persuasion as a direct recommendation of the future promises.
12.3CRNov 1, 2021
RADAMS: Resilient and Adaptive Alert and Attention Management Strategy against Informational Denial-of-Service (IDoS) AttacksLinan Huang, Quanyan Zhu
Attacks exploiting human attentional vulnerability have posed severe threats to cybersecurity. In this work, we identify and formally define a new type of proactive attentional attacks called Informational Denial-of-Service (IDoS) attacks that generate a large volume of feint attacks to overload human operators and hide real attacks among feints. We incorporate human factors (e.g., levels of expertise, stress, and efficiency) and empirical psychological results (e.g., the Yerkes-Dodson law and the sunk cost fallacy) to model the operators' attention dynamics and their decision-making processes along with the real-time alert monitoring and inspection. To assist human operators in dismissing the feints and escalating the real attacks timely and accurately, we develop a Resilient and Adaptive Data-driven alert and Attention Management Strategy (RADAMS) that de-emphasizes alerts selectively based on the abstracted category labels of the alerts. RADAMS uses reinforcement learning to achieve a customized and transferable design for various human operators and evolving IDoS attacks. The integrated modeling and theoretical analysis lead to the Product Principle of Attention (PPoA), fundamental limits, and the tradeoff among crucial human and economic factors. Experimental results corroborate that the proposed strategy outperforms the default strategy and can reduce the IDoS risk by as much as 20%. Besides, the strategy is resilient to large variations of costs, attack frequencies, and human attention capacities. We have recognized interesting phenomena such as attentional risk equivalency, attacker's dilemma, and the half-truth optimal attack strategy.
6.6CRAug 4, 2021
Combating Informational Denial-of-Service (IDoS) Attacks: Modeling and Mitigation of Attentional Human VulnerabilityLinan Huang, Quanyan Zhu
This work proposes a new class of proactive attacks called the Informational Denial-of-Service (IDoS) attacks that exploit the attentional human vulnerability. By generating a large volume of feints, IDoS attacks deplete the cognitive resources of human operators to prevent humans from identifying the real attacks hidden among feints. This work aims to formally define IDoS attacks, quantify their consequences, and develop human-assistive security technologies to mitigate the severity level and risks of IDoS attacks. To this end, we use the semi-Markov process to model the sequential arrivals of feints and real attacks with category labels attached in the associated alerts. The assistive technology strategically manages human attention by highlighting selective alerts periodically to prevent the distraction of other alerts. A data-driven approach is applied to evaluate human performance under different Attention Management (AM) strategies. Under a representative special case, we establish the computational equivalency between two dynamic programming representations to reduce the computation complexity and enable online learning with samples of reduced size and zero delays. A case study corroborates the effectiveness of the learning framework. The numerical results illustrate how AM strategies can alleviate the severity level and the risk of IDoS attacks. Furthermore, the results show that the minimum risk is achieved with a proper level of intentional inattention to alerts, which we refer to as the law of rational risk-reduction inattention.
21.7CRJul 2, 2021
Reinforcement Learning for Feedback-Enabled Cyber ResilienceYunhan Huang, Linan Huang, Quanyan Zhu
Digitization and remote connectivity have enlarged the attack surface and made cyber systems more vulnerable. As attackers become increasingly sophisticated and resourceful, mere reliance on traditional cyber protection, such as intrusion detection, firewalls, and encryption, is insufficient to secure the cyber systems. Cyber resilience provides a new security paradigm that complements inadequate protection with resilience mechanisms. A Cyber-Resilient Mechanism (CRM) adapts to the known or zero-day threats and uncertainties in real-time and strategically responds to them to maintain critical functions of the cyber systems in the event of successful attacks. Feedback architectures play a pivotal role in enabling the online sensing, reasoning, and actuation process of the CRM. Reinforcement Learning (RL) is an essential tool that epitomizes the feedback architectures for cyber resilience. It allows the CRM to provide sequential responses to attacks with limited or without prior knowledge of the environment and the attacker. In this work, we review the literature on RL for cyber resilience and discuss cyber resilience against three major types of vulnerabilities, i.e., posture-related, information-related, and human-related vulnerabilities. We introduce three application domains of CRMs: moving target defense, defensive cyber deception, and assistive human security technologies. The RL algorithms also have vulnerabilities themselves. We explain the three vulnerabilities of RL and present attack models where the attacker targets the information exchanged between the environment and the agent: the rewards, the state observations, and the action commands. We show that the attacker can trick the RL agent into learning a nefarious policy with minimum attacking effort. Lastly, we discuss the future challenges of RL for cyber security and resilience and emerging applications of RL-based CRMs.
13.4HCJun 13, 2021
ADVERT: An Adaptive and Data-Driven Attention Enhancement Mechanism for Phishing PreventionLinan Huang, Shumeng Jia, Emily Balcetis et al.
Attacks exploiting the innate and the acquired vulnerabilities of human users have posed severe threats to cybersecurity. This work proposes ADVERT, a human-technical solution that generates adaptive visual aids in real-time to prevent users from inadvertence and reduce their susceptibility to phishing attacks. Based on the eye-tracking data, we extract visual states and attention states as system-level sufficient statistics to characterize the user's visual behaviors and attention status. By adopting a data-driven approach and two learning feedback of different time scales, this work lays out a theoretical foundation to analyze, evaluate, and particularly modify humans' attention processes while they vet and recognize phishing emails. We corroborate the effectiveness, efficiency, and robustness of ADVERT through a case study based on the data set collected from human subject experiments conducted at New York University. The results show that the visual aids can statistically increase the attention level and improve the accuracy of phishing recognition from 74.6% to a minimum of 86%. The meta-adaptation can further improve the accuracy to 91.5% (resp. 93.7%) in less than 3 (resp. 50) tuning stages.
13.0MAMay 17, 2021
The Confluence of Networks, Games and LearningTao Li, Guanze Peng, Quanyan Zhu et al.
Recent years have witnessed significant advances in technologies and services in modern network applications, including smart grid management, wireless communication, cybersecurity as well as multi-agent autonomous systems. Considering the heterogeneous nature of networked entities, emerging network applications call for game-theoretic models and learning-based approaches in order to create distributed network intelligence that responds to uncertainties and disruptions in a dynamic or an adversarial environment. This paper articulates the confluence of networks, games and learning, which establishes a theoretical underpinning for understanding multi-agent decision-making over networks. We provide an selective overview of game-theoretic learning algorithms within the framework of stochastic approximation theory, and associated applications in some representative contexts of modern network systems, such as the next generation wireless communication networks, the smart grid and distributed machine learning. In addition to existing research works on game-theoretic learning over networks, we highlight several new angles and research endeavors on learning in games that are related to recent developments in artificial intelligence. Some of the new angles extrapolate from our own research interests. The overall objective of the paper is to provide the reader a clear picture of the strengths and challenges of adopting game-theoretic learning methods within the context of network systems, and further to identify fruitful future research directions on both theoretical and applied studies.
3.3MAMay 7, 2021
Informational Design of Dynamic Multi-Agent SystemTao Zhang, Quanyan Zhu
This work considers a novel information design problem and studies how the craft of payoff-relevant environmental signals solely can influence the behaviors of intelligent agents. The agents' strategic interactions are captured by a Markov game, in which each agent first selects one external signal from multiple signal sources as additional payoff-relevant information and then takes an action. There is a rational information designer (principal) who possesses one signal source and aims to influence the equilibrium behaviors of the agents by designing the information structure of her signals sent to the agents. We propose a direct information design approach that incentivizes each agent to select the signal sent by the principal, such that the design process avoids the predictions of the agents' strategic selection behaviors. We then introduce the design protocol given a goal of the designer which we refer to as obedient implementability (OIL) and characterize the OIL in a class of obedient sequential Markov perfect equilibria (O-SMPE). A design regime is proposed based on an approach which we refer to as the fixed-point alignment that incentivizes the agents to choose the signal sent by the principal, guarantees that the agents' policy profile of taking actions is the policy component of an O-SMPE and the principal's goal is achieved. We then formulate the principal's optimal goal selection problem in terms of information design and characterize the optimization problem by minimizing the fixed-point misalignments. The proposed approach can be applied to elicit desired behaviors of multi-agent systems in competing as well as cooperating settings and be extended to heterogeneous stochastic games in the complete- and the incomplete-information environments.
8.9ROMar 9, 2021
Cybersecurity in Robotics: Challenges, Quantitative Modeling, and PracticeQuanyan Zhu, Stefan Rass, Bernhard Dieber et al.
Robotics is becoming more and more ubiquitous, but the pressure to bring systems to market occasionally goes at the cost of neglecting security mechanisms during the development, deployment or while in production. As a result, contemporary robotic systems are vulnerable to diverse attack patterns, and an a posteriori hardening is at least challenging, if not impossible at all. This book aims to stipulate the inclusion of security in robotics from the earliest design phases onward and with a special focus on the cost-benefit tradeoff that can otherwise be an inhibitor for the fast development of affordable systems. We advocate quantitative methods of security management and design, covering vulnerability scoring systems tailored to robotic systems, and accounting for the highly distributed nature of robots as an interplay of potentially very many components. A powerful quantitative approach to model-based security is offered by game theory, providing a rich spectrum of techniques to optimize security against various kinds of attacks. Such a multi-perspective view on security is necessary to address the heterogeneity and complexity of robotic systems. This book is intended as an accessible starter for the theoretician and practitioner working in the field.
1.2SYFeb 17, 2021
Self-Triggered Markov Decision ProcessesYunhan Huang, Quanyan Zhu
In this paper, we study Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) with self-triggered strategies, where the idea of self-triggered control is extended to more generic MDP models. This extension broadens the application of self-triggering policies to a broader range of systems. We study the co-design problems of the control policy and the triggering policy to optimize two pre-specified cost criteria. The first cost criterion is introduced by incorporating a pre-specified update penalty into the traditional MDP cost criteria to reduce the use of communication resources. Under this criteria, a novel dynamic programming (DP) equation called DP equation with optimized lookahead to proposed to solve for the self-triggering policy under this criteria. The second self-triggering policy is to maximize the triggering time while still guaranteeing a pre-specified level of sub-optimality. Theoretical underpinnings are established for the computation and implementation of both policies. Through a gridworld numerical example, we illustrate the two policies' effectiveness in reducing sources consumption and demonstrate the trade-offs between resource consumption and system performance.
2.3MAFeb 14, 2021
On the Equilibrium Elicitation of Markov Games Through Information DesignTao Zhang, Quanyan Zhu
This work considers a novel information design problem and studies how the craft of payoff-relevant environmental signals solely can influence the behaviors of intelligent agents. The agents' strategic interactions are captured by an incomplete-information Markov game, in which each agent first selects one environmental signal from multiple signal sources as additional payoff-relevant information and then takes an action. There is a rational information designer (designer) who possesses one signal source and aims to control the equilibrium behaviors of the agents by designing the information structure of her signals sent to the agents. An obedient principle is established which states that it is without loss of generality to focus on the direct information design when the information design incentivizes each agent to select the signal sent by the designer, such that the design process avoids the predictions of the agents' strategic selection behaviors. We then introduce the design protocol given a goal of the designer referred to as obedient implementability (OIL) and characterize the OIL in a class of obedient perfect Bayesian Markov Nash equilibria (O-PBME). A new framework for information design is proposed based on an approach of maximizing the optimal slack variables. Finally, we formulate the designer's goal selection problem and characterize it in terms of information design by establishing a relationship between the O-PBME and the Bayesian Markov correlated equilibria, in which we build upon the revelation principle in classic information design in economics. The proposed approach can be applied to elicit desired behaviors of multi-agent systems in competing as well as cooperating settings and be extended to heterogeneous stochastic games in the complete- and the incomplete-information environments.
1.2ITFeb 4, 2021
Feedback Capacity of Parallel ACGN Channels and Kalman Filter: Power Allocation with FeedbackSong Fang, Quanyan Zhu
In this paper, we relate the feedback capacity of parallel additive colored Gaussian noise (ACGN) channels to a variant of the Kalman filter. By doing so, we obtain lower bounds on the feedback capacity of such channels, as well as the corresponding feedback (recursive) coding schemes, which are essentially power allocation policies with feedback, to achieve the bounds. The results are seen to reduce to existing lower bounds in the case of a single ACGN feedback channel, whereas when it comes to parallel additive white Gaussian noise (AWGN) channels with feedback, the recursive coding scheme reduces to a feedback "water-filling" power allocation policy.
2.3SYDec 29, 2020
Relativistic Rocket Control (Relativistic Space-Travel Flight Control): Feedback Control of Relativistic Dynamics Propelled by Ejecting MassSong Fang, Quanyan Zhu
In this short note, we investigate the feedback control of relativistic dynamics propelled by mass ejection, modeling, e.g., the relativistic rocket control or the relativistic (space-travel) flight control. As an extreme case, we also examine the control of relativistic photon rockets which are propelled by ejecting photons.
9.0LGDec 28, 2020
Blackwell Online Learning for Markov Decision ProcessesTao Li, Guanze Peng, Quanyan Zhu
This work provides a novel interpretation of Markov Decision Processes (MDP) from the online optimization viewpoint. In such an online optimization context, the policy of the MDP is viewed as the decision variable while the corresponding value function is treated as payoff feedback from the environment. Based on this interpretation, we construct a Blackwell game induced by MDP, which bridges the gap among regret minimization, Blackwell approachability theory, and learning theory for MDP. Specifically, from the approachability theory, we propose 1) Blackwell value iteration for offline planning and 2) Blackwell $Q-$learning for online learning in MDP, both of which are shown to converge to the optimal solution. Our theoretical guarantees are corroborated by numerical experiments.