Sebastián Gonçalves

Diego D. Lopes, Bruno R. da Cunha, Alvaro F. Martins et al.

Recent research has shown that criminal networks have complex organizational structures, but whether this can be used to predict static and dynamic properties of criminal networks remains little explored. Here, by combining graph representation learning and machine learning methods, we show that structural properties of political corruption, police intelligence, and money laundering networks can be used to recover missing criminal partnerships, distinguish among different types of criminal and legal associations, as well as predict the total amount of money exchanged among criminal agents, all with outstanding accuracy. We also show that our approach can anticipate future criminal associations during the dynamic growth of corruption networks with significant accuracy. Thus, similar to evidence found at crime scenes, we conclude that structural patterns of criminal networks carry crucial information about illegal activities, which allows machine learning methods to predict missing information and even anticipate future criminal behavior.

Din Iskakov, Sebastian Gonçalves, Marco Idiat et al.

Comparing topic attention across different media is hindered by a fundamental modelling problem: topic models fitted separately to each corpus produce corpus-specific topic spaces that cannot be aligned directly. This paper presents a reproducible framework that places corpora in a single shared topic space defined by a taxonomy. Discovered topics are obtained with guided BERTopic, scored against the ninety-four IPTC Media Topics' taxonomy topics (level-1) through weighted keyword and target centroids, and then collapsed upward to seventeen IPTC parent topics by a maximum-similarity rule. The framework was developed and selected on a controlled New York Times 2011 corpus through a narrowing sequence: a broad model screen, a focused mapping refinement, a strict finalist comparison, a target-construction ablation, and a threshold calibration. In this corpus, the guided family retained substantially stronger mapped coverage than a zero-shot benchmark under stricter assignment thresholds, a parent-enriched target construction improved both coverage and parent consistency, and coverage declined gradually rather than collapsing as the assignment threshold was tightened. The contribution is an externally anchored method for constructing a shared topic space that enables reproducible cross-source topic comparison.