8.8AIJun 15
MA-SBI: Misspecification-Aware Simulation-Based Inference via Side-Channel GuidanceArunkumar V, Manoranjan Gandhudi, Gangadharan G. R. et al.
Simulation-based inference (SBI) of latent parameters is often hindered by simulator misspecification, the mismatch between simulated and real-world observations caused by inherent modeling simplifications. RoPE, the recent state-of-the-art for robust SBI, addresses this through optimal transport between learned representations of real and simulated observations, but requires ground-truth parameter calibration pairs that are typically unavailable in the very settings where SBI is needed. What practitioners do have is unstructured side-information such as regime labels, instruction text, and policy bulletins. We propose Misspecification-Aware Simulation-Based Inference (MA-SBI), a calibration-free framework that turns this side-channel into a posterior correction. A learned corrector maps side-channel text to an observation-space shift applied before any pre-trained amortized posterior, requiring no retraining and no parameter ground-truth. Our main theorem bounds achievable bias reduction by the mutual information between misspecification and side-channel, with a non-vacuous constant that extends to all sub-Gaussian noise via Donsker-Varadhan. On hide-the-calibration benchmarks, MA-SBI with text alone matches the oracle posterior across 10 seeds and two backbones (TOST equivalence), while RoPE given more data does not. The two approaches are complementary: where misspecification is structural and recoverable from parameter pairs, RoPE dominates, as the theory predicts. A stochastic variant improves posterior-predictive log-likelihood on real COVID and OxCGRT epidemiological data, and correctly leaves the posterior unchanged on a well-specified cognitive-science corpus.
15.3AIJun 15
RAID: Semantic Graph Diffusion for True Cold-Start and Cross-Lingual ForecastingArunkumar V, Manoranjan Gandhudi, Gangadharan G. R. et al.
Time-series foundation models show strong transfer performance when given a non-empty history window. However, true cold-start scenarios, where a new item has no prior observations, violate this assumption. We propose RAID (Retrieval-Augmented Iterative Diffusion) a framework, which replaces history-based correlation learning with metadata-driven semantic retrieval and graph-conditioned diffusion. RAID maps textual metadata into a shared semantic space using a frozen multilingual embedding model and constructs an inductive retrieval graph that extends naturally to unseen items. It first forms a base forecast by aggregating information from semantically related neighbors, then refines this forecast with a gated diffusion module to model residual uncertainty. Under a strict true cold-start protocol, RAID outperforms strong foundation models and competitive baselines on both forecasting accuracy and prediction interval coverage, while reducing inference latency by an order of magnitude through non-autoregressive decoding. The shared semantic space also enables zero-shot cross-lingual transfer, allowing a model trained on English descriptions to generalize to items described in other languages without direct supervision.
1.2CEJul 11, 2013
A New Approach to the Solution of Economic Dispatch Using Particle Swarm Optimization with Simulated AnnealingV. Karthikeyan, S. Senthilkumar, V. J. Vijayalakshmi
A new approach to the solution of Economic Dispatch using Particle Swarm Optimization is presented. It is the progression of allocating production amongst the dedicated units such that the restriction forced are fulfilled and the power needs are reduced. More just, the soft computing method has received supplementary concentration and was used in a quantity of successful and sensible applications. Here, an attempt has been made to find out the minimum cost by using Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm using the data of three generating units. In this work, data has been taken such as the loss coefficients with the max-min power limit and cost function. PSO and Simulated Annealing are functional to put out the least amount for dissimilar energy requirements. When the outputs are compared with the conventional method, PSO seems to give an improved result with enhanced convergence feature. All the methods are executed in MATLAB environment. The effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed method were demonstrated by three generating units case study. Output gives hopeful results, signifying that the projected method of calculation is competent of economically formative advanced eminence solutions addressing economic dispatch problems.