Hui Wang

Shiyu Liu, Shaogao Lv, Dun Zeng et al.

Federated learning is a decentralized and privacy-preserving technique that enables multiple clients to collaborate with a server to learn a global model without exposing their private data. However, the presence of statistical heterogeneity among clients poses a challenge, as the global model may struggle to perform well on each client's specific task. To address this issue, we introduce a new perspective on personalized federated learning through Amortized Bayesian Meta-Learning. Specifically, we propose a novel algorithm called \emph{FedABML}, which employs hierarchical variational inference across clients. The global prior aims to capture representations of common intrinsic structures from heterogeneous clients, which can then be transferred to their respective tasks and aid in the generation of accurate client-specific approximate posteriors through a few local updates. Our theoretical analysis provides an upper bound on the average generalization error and guarantees the generalization performance on unseen data. Finally, several empirical results are implemented to demonstrate that \emph{FedABML} outperforms several competitive baselines.

Hui Sophie Wang, Nutchanon Yongsatianchot, Stacy Marsella

Hurricanes cause significant economic and human costs, requiring individuals to make critical evacuation decisions under uncertainty and stress. To enhance the understanding of this decision-making process, we propose using Bayesian Networks (BNs) to model evacuation decisions during hurricanes. We collected questionnaire data from two significant hurricane events: Hurricane Harvey and Hurricane Irma. We employed a data-driven approach by first conducting variable selection using mutual information, followed by BN structure learning with two constraint-based algorithms. The robustness of the learned structures was enhanced by model averaging based on bootstrap resampling. We examined and compared the learned structures of both hurricanes, revealing potential causal relationships among key predictors of evacuation, including risk perception, information received from media, suggestions from family and friends, and neighbors evacuating. Our findings highlight the significant role of social influence, providing valuable insights into the process of evacuation decision-making. Our results demonstrate the applicability and effectiveness of data-driven BN modeling in evacuation decision making.