Ankit Kumar

Andrés L. Suárez-Cetrulo, Ankit Kumar, Luis Miralles-Pechuán

The investment of time and resources for better strategies and methodologies to tackle a potential pandemic is key to deal with potential outbreaks of new variants or other viruses in the future. In this work, we recreated the scene of a year ago, 2020, when the pandemic erupted across the world for the fifty countries with more COVID-19 cases reported. We performed some experiments in which we compare state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms, such as LSTM, against online incremental machine learning algorithms to adapt them to the daily changes in the spread of the disease and predict future COVID-19 cases. To compare the methods, we performed three experiments: In the first one, we trained the models using only data from the country we predicted. In the second one, we use data from all fifty countries to train and predict each of them. In the first and second experiment, we used a static hold-out approach for all methods. In the third experiment, we trained the incremental methods sequentially, using a prequential evaluation. This scheme is not suitable for most state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms because they need to be retrained from scratch for every batch of predictions, causing a computational burden. Results show that incremental methods are a promising approach to adapt to changes of the disease over time; they are always up to date with the last state of the data distribution, and they have a significantly lower computational cost than other techniques such as LSTMs.

Ali Hadian, Ankit Kumar, Thomas Heinis

Spatial indexes are crucial for the analysis of the increasing amounts of spatial data, for example generated through IoT applications. The plethora of indexes that has been developed in recent decades has primarily been optimised for disk. With increasing amounts of memory even on commodity machines, however, moving them to main memory is an option. Doing so opens up the opportunity to use additional optimizations that are only amenable to main memory. In this paper we thus explore the opportunity to use light-weight machine learning models to accelerate queries on spatial indexes. We do so by exploring the potential of using interpolation and similar techniques on the R-tree, arguably the most broadly used spatial index. As we show in our experimental analysis, the query execution time can be reduced by up to 60% while simultaneously shrinking the index's memory footprint by over 90%

Malladihalli S Bhuvan, Ankit Kumar, Adil Zafar et al.

Hospital readmissions are expensive and reflect the inadequacies in healthcare system. In the United States alone, treatment of readmitted diabetic patients exceeds 250 million dollars per year. Early identification of patients facing a high risk of readmission can enable healthcare providers to to conduct additional investigations and possibly prevent future readmissions. This not only improves the quality of care but also reduces the medical expenses on readmission. Machine learning methods have been leveraged on public health data to build a system for identifying diabetic patients facing a high risk of future readmission. Number of inpatient visits, discharge disposition and admission type were identified as strong predictors of readmission. Further, it was found that the number of laboratory tests and discharge disposition together predict whether the patient will be readmitted shortly after being discharged from the hospital (i.e. <30 days) or after a longer period of time (i.e. >30 days). These insights can help healthcare providers to improve inpatient diabetic care. Finally, the cost analysis suggests that \$252.76 million can be saved across 98,053 diabetic patient encounters by incorporating the proposed cost sensitive analysis model.