Weichao Liu

Weizhi Nie, Weichao Liu, Weijie Wang et al.

Abnormality detection in complex systems faces two practical barriers: abnormal labels are scarce, and binary labels do not quantify how far an event has departed from normal behavior. We study a normal-world modeling formulation for this setting. Instead of learning a large and incomplete space of abnormal classes, the model learns the normal world from abundant normal events and uses a few abnormal examples only to calibrate the boundary of normality. We instantiate this idea as a Hypergraph Entropic Normal-World Model. The model represents multivariate sensor windows as context-conditioned hypergraphs, where hyperedges capture high-order relations among groups of variables. It then defines abnormality by an entropy-aware normal-world energy that combines temporal prediction surprise, hypergraph consistency surprise, and latent normal-manifold departure. On the NASA C-MAPSS turbofan degradation benchmark, the proposed full energy achieves strong zero-shot and few-shot performance across all four subsets and reaches AUROC 0.9983 on FD004, the most complex setting with multiple operating conditions and fault modes. Beyond standard detection metrics, we introduce mechanistic validation tests to probe whether the energy encodes normal-world structure rather than a superficial input-output mapping. The learned energy accepts unseen healthy engines, increases along degradation trajectories, and sharply penalizes context-mismatched cross-variable coupling breaks. These results suggest that normal-world energy can serve as an anomaly score, a graded risk measure, and a testable representation of normal system behavior under severe abnormal-label scarcity.

Weizhi Nie, Weichao Liu, Honglin Guo et al.

Multivariate forecasting in physical systems requires models that predict coupled temporal variables while preserving meaningful state evolution. Deep forecasters can fit temporal correlations, and physics-informed models can regularize predictions with scientific constraints, but these directions are often connected only at the decoded-output level. As a result, the hidden predictive state that generates future trajectories may remain statistically useful but physically unstructured. We introduce Phys-JEPA, a physics-informed joint-embedding predictive architecture for multivariate time-series forecasting. Phys-JEPA learns a latent world model in which predictive states are decomposed into physical and residual components, and physical consistency is imposed directly on latent states and latent transitions rather than only on decoded forecasts. This formulation uses known physical variables to organize the representation space while retaining residual capacity for unresolved dynamics. On Jena Climate 2009--2016, Phys-JEPA reduces aggregate MSE from 0.12482 to 0.12273 and temperature MSE from 0.01892 to 0.01831 at H=24. On Traffic, full Phys-JEPA improves aggregate MSE over the supervised baseline across all tested horizons, reducing H=192 MSE from 0.800784 to 0.773873. On Electricity, the best variant depends on horizon: static latent consistency is strongest at H=24 and H=48, while full Phys-JEPA gives the best aggregate and target-variable MSE at H=192. These initial results suggest that moving physics-informed learning from output space to latent predictive state space is a promising direction for interpretable temporal world models.