J. L. Fu

Mobina Pournemat, Keivan Rezaei, Gaurang Sriramanan et al.

Despite widespread success in language understanding and generation, large language models (LLMs) exhibit unclear and often inconsistent behavior when faced with tasks that require probabilistic reasoning. In this work, we present the first comprehensive study of the reasoning capabilities of LLMs over explicit discrete probability distributions. Given observations from a probability distribution, we evaluate models on three carefully designed tasks, mode identification, maximum likelihood estimation, and sample generation, by prompting them to provide responses to queries about either the joint distribution or its conditionals. These tasks thus probe a range of probabilistic skills, including frequency analysis, marginalization, and generative behavior. Through comprehensive empirical evaluations, we demonstrate that there exists a clear performance gap between smaller and larger models, with the latter demonstrating stronger inference and surprising capabilities in sample generation. Furthermore, our investigations reveal notable limitations, including sensitivity to variations in the notation utilized to represent probabilistic outcomes and performance degradation of over 60% as context length increases. Together, our results provide a detailed understanding of the probabilistic reasoning abilities of LLMs and identify key directions for future improvement.

Ilqar Ramazanli, Hamid Eghbalzadeh, Xiaoyi Liu et al.

Perturbation-based regularization techniques address many challenges in industrial-scale large models, particularly with sparse labels, and emphasize consistency and invariance for perturbation in model predictions. One of the popular regularization techniques has been various forms of self-consistency, which involve making small modifications to input data while preserving contextual information and enforcing similar predictions through auxiliary loss functions. In this work, we explore the first successful application of perturbation-based regularization algorithms in large-scale ads ranking models, and further propose a novel regularization algorithm, namely, Loss-Balanced Small Perturbation Regularization (LSPR) that can be used in potentially any deep learning model. We have successfully demonstrate that both Self-Consistency Regularization approaches (SCR) and LSPR are scalable and can improve ads delivery systems. By conducting industrial-scale experiments, and numerical analysis, we additionally show that our proposed LSPR, performs consistently better compared to SCR, across various groups and signal availability setups. Finally, we report a successful application of the proposed LSPR in a billion-scale industrial ranking system, which to the best of our knowledge, is the first of its kind, and it is specially designed to address the various scalability challenges (e.g, various surfaces, geological locations, clients and so on) as we will mention in this paper.

Jiachen Fu, Chun-Le Guo, Chongyi Li

The rapid advancement of large language models (LLMs) has drawn urgent attention to the task of machine-generated text detection (MGTD). However, existing approaches struggle in complex real-world scenarios: zero-shot detectors rely heavily on scoring model's output distribution while training-based detectors are often constrained by overfitting to the training data, limiting generalization. We found that the performance bottleneck of training-based detectors stems from the misalignment between training objective and task needs. To address this, we propose Direct Discrepancy Learning (DDL), a novel optimization strategy that directly optimizes the detector with task-oriented knowledge. DDL enables the detector to better capture the core semantics of the detection task, thereby enhancing both robustness and generalization. Built upon this, we introduce DetectAnyLLM, a unified detection framework that achieves state-of-the-art MGTD performance across diverse LLMs. To ensure a reliable evaluation, we construct MIRAGE, the most diverse multi-task MGTD benchmark. MIRAGE samples human-written texts from 10 corpora across 5 text-domains, which are then re-generated or revised using 17 cutting-edge LLMs, covering a wide spectrum of proprietary models and textual styles. Extensive experiments on MIRAGE reveal the limitations of existing methods in complex environment. In contrast, DetectAnyLLM consistently outperforms them, achieving over a 70% performance improvement under the same training data and base scoring model, underscoring the effectiveness of our DDL. Project page: {https://fjc2005.github.io/detectanyllm}.

Hamid Eghbalzadeh, Yang Wang, Rui Li et al.

Industrial ads ranking systems conventionally rely on labeled impression data, which leads to challenges such as overfitting, slower incremental gain from model scaling, and biases due to discrepancies between training and serving data. To overcome these issues, we propose a Unified framework for Knowledge-Distillation and Semi-supervised Learning (UKDSL) for ads ranking, empowering the training of models on a significantly larger and more diverse datasets, thereby reducing overfitting and mitigating training-serving data discrepancies. We provide detailed formal analysis and numerical simulations on the inherent miscalibration and prediction bias of multi-stage ranking systems, and show empirical evidence of the proposed framework's capability to mitigate those. Compared to prior work, UKDSL can enable models to learn from a much larger set of unlabeled data, hence, improving the performance while being computationally efficient. Finally, we report the successful deployment of UKDSL in an industrial setting across various ranking models, serving users at multi-billion scale, across various surfaces, geological locations, clients, and optimize for various events, which to the best of our knowledge is the first of its kind in terms of the scale and efficiency at which it operates.