8.7MAMay 12
GeomHerd: A Forward-looking Herding Quantification via Ricci Flow Geometry on Agent Interactive SimulationsLake Yang, Junwei Su, Jingfeng Zeng et al.
Herding -- where agents align their behaviors and act collectively -- is a central driver of market fragility and systemic risk. Existing approaches to quantify herding rely on price-correlation statistics, which inherently lag because they only detect coordination after it has already moved realised returns. We propose GeomHerd, a forward-looking geometric framework that bypasses this observability lag by quantifying coordination directly on upstream agent-interaction graphs. To generate these graphs, we treat a heterogeneous LLM-driven multi-agent simulator -- each financial trader instantiated by a persona-conditioned LLM call -- as a forecastable world, and evaluate the geometric pipeline on the Cividino--Sornette continuous-spin agent-based substrate as our headline financial testbed. By tracking the discrete Ollivier--Ricci curvature of these action graphs, GeomHerd captures the structural topology of emerging coordination. Theoretically, we establish a mean-field bridge mapping our graph-theoretic metric to CSAD, the classical macroscopic herding statistic, linking GeomHerd to downstream price-dispersion measurement. Empirically, GeomHerd anticipates herding long before aggregate market baselines: on the continuous-spin substrate, our primary detector fires a median of 272 steps before order-parameter onset; a contagion detector ($β_{-}$) recalls 65% of critical trajectories 318 steps early; and on co-firing trajectories the agent-graph signal precedes price-correlation-graph baselines by 40 steps. As a complementary indicator, the effective vocabulary of agent actions contracts during cascades. The geometric signature transfers out-of-domain to the Vicsek self-driven-particle model, and a curvature-conditioned forecasting head reduces cascade-window log-return MAE over detector-conditioned and price-only baselines.
21.3SEJul 2
Guiding Human Validation of LLM-Generated Code via Verifiable Literate ProgrammingZiqi Yuan, Wenhao Lu, Hao Wu et al.
Vibe coding democratizes software development by allowing users to generate code via natural-language (NL) interaction with large language models (LLMs). However, the code is reliable only when it faithfully implements the user's intent, which is difficult and labor-intensive for users to validate. Existing validation methods either rely on LLM-assisted automated testing, which suffers from prompt ambiguity and model fallibility, or involve users only in partial software artifacts such as prompts and test cases, which may overlook corner cases and program details. Motivated by a bug study of LLM-generated code, we find that detailed human feedback is essential, as failures often stem from underspecified requirements or subtle semantic deviations. This paper presents verifiable literate programming (VLP), a human-in-the-loop framework designed to make the review/validation process of LLM-generated code accessible to users at all programming levels. At its core, VLP proposes unambiguous NL-based documentation as a readable intermediate layer between prompts and code. The documentation demonstrates concrete program semantics and enables users to provide feedback on potential intent-code mismatches. It supports human-involved, end-to-end repair and validation via three techniques: (i) an NL-style literate language with unambiguous syntax and mostly deterministic code-to-documentation translation, (ii) LLM-based fine-grained mismatch detection that uses trace links between prompts and documentation to focus users' review effort on suspicious documentation lines, and (iii) a verification module that leverages user-validated documentation to derive API-usage checks and formal properties, which are then verified against the generated code using model checking. Our evaluation shows that VLP improves code pass@1 from 28.7%-73.2% to 65.4%-93.5% with reasonable user effort.