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math.STMathematics

Statistics Theory

Mathematical statistics foundations

14.4LGMar 11Code21
Ranking Reasoning LLMs under Test-Time Scaling

Mohsen Hariri, Michael Hinczewski, Jing Ma et al.

This work addresses the underexplored issue of ranking models in test-time scaling for reasoning LLMs, providing practical tools for researchers and practitioners, though it is incremental in improving existing ranking methodologies.

9.9STMar 28
Multiple-Prediction-Powered Inference

Charlie Cowen-Breen, Alekh Agarwal, Stephen Bates et al.

Provides a general framework for resource-constrained statistical estimation, improving efficiency for practitioners using multiple proxies.

10.8LGMay 16
Propagation of Chaos in Contextual Flow Maps

Shi Chen, Zhengjiang Lin, Kaizhao Liu et al.

Provides rigorous statistical guarantees for transformer performance as context length grows, addressing a key theoretical gap for practitioners scaling models.

10.8LGMar 12
A Quantitative Characterization of Forgetting in Post-Training

Krishnakumar Balasubramanian, Shiva Prasad Kasiviswanathan

This provides a principled understanding of forgetting for researchers and practitioners in machine learning, though it is incremental as it builds on existing theoretical abstractions.

12.2LGApr 19
Diverse Dictionary Learning

Yujia Zheng, Zijian Li, Shunxing Fan et al.

For practitioners in unsupervised learning, this provides a principled way to recover partial latent structure without unverifiable assumptions, though the results are theoretical and domain-agnostic.

10.5LGMay 8
Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers

Giuseppe Bruno, Shi Chen, Zhengjiang Lin et al.

For theorists studying transformer scaling, this provides precise phase transition boundaries and limiting laws, but the analysis is restricted to i.i.d. keys and fixed queries, limiting direct applicability.

9.2OCMay 16
High-dimensional Limit of SGD for Diagonal Linear Networks

Begoña García Malaxechebarría, Courtney Paquette, Maryam Fazel et al.

Provides a rigorous theoretical framework for understanding SGD dynamics in a simplified neural network setting, offering explicit non-asymptotic convergence guarantees.

14.0DSMar 24
Algorithmic warm starts for Hamiltonian Monte Carlo

Matthew S. Zhang, Jason M. Altschuler, Sinho Chewi

This resolves the computational bottleneck of finding warm starts for HMC, which is crucial for practitioners in statistics, engineering, and sciences who rely on HMC for high-dimensional sampling, though it is incremental as it builds on prior theoretical work.

7.6LGMay 28
Reasoning with Sampling: Cutting at Decision Points

Felix Zhou, Anay Mehrotra, Quanquan C. Liu

For practitioners seeking to improve reasoning in language models without additional training, this work offers a practical sampling method that outperforms prior approaches and RL-trained models.

7.8MLMay 24
Nyström Kernel Stein Discrepancy Tests

Florian Kalinke, Zoltán Szabó, Bharath K. Sriperumbudur

For practitioners needing scalable goodness-of-fit tests on large datasets, this work provides a theoretically grounded acceleration of KSD-based testing without sacrificing statistical performance.