AIJan 23, 2013

Bayesian Networks for Dependability Analysis: an Application to Digital Control Reliability

arXiv:1301.6734v158 citations
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This work addresses dependability analysis for digital control systems, but it is incremental as it applies an existing method to a new domain.

The paper tackles the problem of applying Bayesian Networks to dependability analysis, demonstrating their ability to handle modeling and analysis issues and overcome limitations of traditional methods like Fault Trees, using a real-world example of a redundant digital PLC with majority voting 2:3.

Bayesian Networks (BN) provide robust probabilistic methods of reasoning under uncertainty, but despite their formal grounds are strictly based on the notion of conditional dependence, not much attention has been paid so far to their use in dependability analysis. The aim of this paper is to propose BN as a suitable tool for dependability analysis, by challenging the formalism with basic issues arising in dependability tasks. We will discuss how both modeling and analysis issues can be naturally dealt with by BN. Moreover, we will show how some limitations intrinsic to combinatorial dependability methods such as Fault Trees can be overcome using BN. This will be pursued through the study of a real-world example concerning the reliability analysis of a redundant digital Programmable Logic Controller (PLC) with majority voting 2:3

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