MIDAS - An Influence Diagram for Management of Mildew in Winter Wheat
This work addresses mildew management for winter wheat farmers, but it is incremental as it builds on existing influence diagram methods without introducing new paradigms.
The authors tackled the problem of managing mildew in winter wheat by developing a decision support system based on an influence diagram to optimize treatment timing and dosage, addressing challenges like stochasticity and incomplete knowledge, but no concrete results or numbers are provided.
We present a prototype of a decision support system for management of the fungal disease mildew in winter wheat. The prototype is based on an influence diagram which is used to determine the optimal time and dose of mildew treatments. This involves multiple decision opportunities over time, stochasticity, inaccurate information and incomplete knowledge. The paper describes the practical and theoretical problems encountered during the construction of the influence diagram, and also the experience with the prototype.