AIJan 31, 2014

Equilibrium Points of an AND-OR Tree: under Constraints on Probability

arXiv:1401.8175v318 citations
Originality Synthesis-oriented
AI Analysis

This is an incremental theoretical contribution to computational complexity and game theory, specifically for analyzing tree structures under probabilistic constraints.

The paper strengthens a prior result on equilibrium probability distributions for uniform binary AND-OR trees by showing that under a constraint fixing the root's probability of being 0 to a specific value r, the equilibrium among independent distributions remains an independent identical distribution.

We study a probability distribution d on the truth assignments to a uniform binary AND-OR tree. Liu and Tanaka [2007, Inform. Process. Lett.] showed the following: If d achieves the equilibrium among independent distributions (ID) then d is an independent identical distribution (IID). We show a stronger form of the above result. Given a real number r such that 0 < r < 1, we consider a constraint that the probability of the root node having the value 0 is r. Our main result is the following: When we restrict ourselves to IDs satisfying this constraint, the above result of Liu and Tanaka still holds. The proof employs clever tricks of induction. In particular, we show two fundamental relationships between expected cost and probability in an IID on an OR-AND tree: (1) The ratio of the cost to the probability (of the root having the value 0) is a decreasing function of the probability x of the leaf. (2) The ratio of derivative of the cost to the derivative of the probability is a decreasing function of x, too.

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