NANACOApr 15, 2016

Polynomial meta-models with canonical low-rank approximations: numerical insights and comparison to sparse polynomial chaos expansions

arXiv:1511.07492119 citationsh-index: 51
Originality Synthesis-oriented
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For engineers and scientists needing efficient meta-models for high-dimensional uncertainty quantification, this work provides a comparative analysis showing LRA's advantages over sparse PCE in data-limited scenarios.

This paper compares canonical low-rank approximations (LRA) with sparse polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) for uncertainty analysis, finding that LRA yields smaller errors when model evaluations are scarce relative to input dimension and better predicts extreme responses.

The growing need for uncertainty analysis of complex computational models has led to an expanding use of meta-models across engineering and sciences. The efficiency of meta-modeling techniques relies on their ability to provide statistically-equivalent analytical representations based on relatively few evaluations of the original model. Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) have proven a powerful tool for developing meta-models in a wide range of applications; the key idea thereof is to expand the model response onto a basis made of multivariate polynomials obtained as tensor products of appropriate univariate polynomials. The classical PCE approach nevertheless faces the "curse of dimensionality", namely the exponential increase of the basis size with increasing input dimension. To address this limitation, the sparse PCE technique has been proposed, in which the expansion is carried out on only a few relevant basis terms that are automatically selected by a suitable algorithm. An alternative for developing meta-models with polynomial functions in high-dimensional problems is offered by the newly emerged low-rank approximations (LRA) approach. By exploiting the tensor-product structure of the multivariate basis, LRA can provide polynomial representations in highly compressed formats. Through extensive numerical investigations, we herein first shed light on issues relating to the construction of canonical LRA with a particular greedy algorithm involving a sequential updating of the polynomial coefficients along separate dimensions. Canonical LRA exhibit smaller errors than sparse PCE in cases when the number of available model evaluations is small with respect to the input dimension. By introducing the conditional generalization error, we further demonstrate that canonical LRA tend to outperform sparse PCE in the prediction of extreme model responses.

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