War of 2050: a Battle for Information, Communications, and Computer Security
This addresses security challenges for military and defense sectors in future conflicts, but it is incremental as it builds on existing discussions of cyber warfare and technology trends.
The paper tackles the problem of future warfare being transformed by information technologies, predicting that information will become the decisive domain, with vulnerabilities in information, communications, and computer security determining battlefield success by 2050.
As envisioned in a recent future-casting workshop, warfare will continue to be transformed by advances in information technologies. In fact, information itself will become the decisive domain of warfare. Four developments will significantly change the nature of the battle. The first of these will be a proliferation of intelligent systems; the second, augmented humans; the third, the decisive battle for the information domain; and the fourth, the introduction of new, networked approaches to command and control. Each of these new capabilities possesses the same critical vulnerability - attacks on the information, communications and computers that will enable human-robot teams to make sense of the battlefield and act decisively. Hence, the largely unseen battle for information, communications and computer security will determine the extent to which adversaries will be able to function and succeed on the battlefield of 2050.