LGOct 30, 2016

The Multi-fidelity Multi-armed Bandit

arXiv:1610.09726v144 citations
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This addresses the challenge of costly decision-making in applications like online advertising by enabling efficient use of approximations, though it is an incremental extension of the classical bandit framework.

The paper tackles the problem of expensive arm evaluations in stochastic multi-armed bandits by introducing a multi-fidelity variant where cheap approximations are available, and develops MF-UCB, which adapts to approximations and costs to achieve better regret than naive strategies, with theoretical near-optimality under certain conditions.

We study a variant of the classical stochastic $K$-armed bandit where observing the outcome of each arm is expensive, but cheap approximations to this outcome are available. For example, in online advertising the performance of an ad can be approximated by displaying it for shorter time periods or to narrower audiences. We formalise this task as a multi-fidelity bandit, where, at each time step, the forecaster may choose to play an arm at any one of $M$ fidelities. The highest fidelity (desired outcome) expends cost $λ^{(m)}$. The $m^{\text{th}}$ fidelity (an approximation) expends $λ^{(m)} < λ^{(M)}$ and returns a biased estimate of the highest fidelity. We develop MF-UCB, a novel upper confidence bound procedure for this setting and prove that it naturally adapts to the sequence of available approximations and costs thus attaining better regret than naive strategies which ignore the approximations. For instance, in the above online advertising example, MF-UCB would use the lower fidelities to quickly eliminate suboptimal ads and reserve the larger expensive experiments on a small set of promising candidates. We complement this result with a lower bound and show that MF-UCB is nearly optimal under certain conditions.

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