Post-injection normal closure of fractures as a mechanism for induced seismicity
For geothermal reservoir operators, this identifies a key mechanism controlling post-injection seismicity, improving hazard assessment.
The study hypothesizes that normal closure of fractures after injection enhances pressure propagation and increases post-injection seismicity potential. Simulations with normal closure showed significantly higher seismicity rates compared to those without, confirming the mechanism.
Understanding the controlling mechanisms underlying injection-induced seismicity is important for optimizing reservoir productivity and addressing seismicity-related concerns related to hydraulic stimulation in Enhanced Geothermal Systems. Hydraulic stimulation enhances permeability through elevated pressures, which cause normal deformations, and the shear slip of pre-existing fractures. Previous experiments indicate that fracture deformation in the normal direction reverses as the pressure decreases, e.g., at the end of stimulation. We hypothesize that this normal closure of fractures enhances pressure propagation away from the injection region and significantly increases the potential for post-injection seismicity. To test this hypothesis, hydraulic stimulation is modeled by numerically coupling fracture deformation, pressure diffusion and stress alterations for a synthetic geothermal reservoir in which the flow and mechanics are strongly affected by a complex three-dimensional fracture network. The role of the normal closure of fractures is verified by comparing simulations conducted with and without the normal closure effect.