Electrical energy prediction study case based on neural networks
An incremental application of existing neural network methods to a specific energy prediction task for a regional distributor.
The paper applies feed-forward and Elman neural networks with linear and nonlinear preprocessing to predict electrical energy consumption in the Banat region, aiming to optimize purchasing for the distributor. No concrete performance numbers are reported.
This paper presents some considerations regarding the prediction of the electrical energy consumption. It is well known that the central element of a microeconomic analysis is represented by the economical agents actions, actions that follow their own interest such as: the consumer maximization of his satisfaction, the producer maximization of his profit. The study case is focused on the prediction of the sold energy in Banat region. The goal of this study case is to optimize the electrical energy quantity purchased from the producer by the energy distributor in Banat region. The prediction is based on neural networks. There are used feed-forward and Elman type neural networks. In order to enhance the prediction accuracy there have been used both linear and nonlinear preprocessing units. The aspects considered in this paper can be extrapolated in any general case of prediction based application, not only in the already stated case of electrical energy.