AILGAPMLJun 27, 2018

A comparative study of artificial intelligence and human doctors for the purpose of triage and diagnosis

arXiv:1806.10698v195 citations
Originality Synthesis-oriented
AI Analysis

This addresses the reliability of online symptom checkers for patient care, showing incremental improvement in safety over human doctors.

The study compared an AI-powered triage and diagnostic system to human doctors, finding that the AI achieved comparable diagnostic accuracy and provided safer triage advice with only a slight reduction in appropriateness.

Online symptom checkers have significant potential to improve patient care, however their reliability and accuracy remain variable. We hypothesised that an artificial intelligence (AI) powered triage and diagnostic system would compare favourably with human doctors with respect to triage and diagnostic accuracy. We performed a prospective validation study of the accuracy and safety of an AI powered triage and diagnostic system. Identical cases were evaluated by both an AI system and human doctors. Differential diagnoses and triage outcomes were evaluated by an independent judge, who was blinded from knowing the source (AI system or human doctor) of the outcomes. Independently of these cases, vignettes from publicly available resources were also assessed to provide a benchmark to previous studies and the diagnostic component of the MRCGP exam. Overall we found that the Babylon AI powered Triage and Diagnostic System was able to identify the condition modelled by a clinical vignette with accuracy comparable to human doctors (in terms of precision and recall). In addition, we found that the triage advice recommended by the AI System was, on average, safer than that of human doctors, when compared to the ranges of acceptable triage provided by independent expert judges, with only a minimal reduction in appropriateness.

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