Attentive Crowd Flow Machines
This addresses urban traffic management and public safety by enhancing crowd flow prediction, though it appears incremental as it builds on existing ConvLSTM and attention techniques.
The paper tackles traffic flow prediction by proposing the Attentive Crowd Flow Machine (ACFM), a neural network module that uses attention mechanisms to integrate dynamic factors, achieving significant improvements over state-of-the-art methods on benchmarks in Beijing and New York City.
Traffic flow prediction is crucial for urban traffic management and public safety. Its key challenges lie in how to adaptively integrate the various factors that affect the flow changes. In this paper, we propose a unified neural network module to address this problem, called Attentive Crowd Flow Machine~(ACFM), which is able to infer the evolution of the crowd flow by learning dynamic representations of temporally-varying data with an attention mechanism. Specifically, the ACFM is composed of two progressive ConvLSTM units connected with a convolutional layer for spatial weight prediction. The first LSTM takes the sequential flow density representation as input and generates a hidden state at each time-step for attention map inference, while the second LSTM aims at learning the effective spatial-temporal feature expression from attentionally weighted crowd flow features. Based on the ACFM, we further build a deep architecture with the application to citywide crowd flow prediction, which naturally incorporates the sequential and periodic data as well as other external influences. Extensive experiments on two standard benchmarks (i.e., crowd flow in Beijing and New York City) show that the proposed method achieves significant improvements over the state-of-the-art methods.