NEAINov 1, 2018

Taylor-based Optimized Recursive Extended Exponential Smoothed Neural Networks Forecasting Method

arXiv:1811.00323v13 citations
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This addresses forecasting accuracy for time series data, but appears incremental as it extends an existing method with error correction.

The study tackled time series forecasting by proposing a method that corrects predicted values through error forecasting, achieving high accuracy and outperforming state-of-the-art RNN models on datasets like Mackey-Glass and Lorenz.

A newly introduced method called Taylor-based Optimized Recursive Extended Exponential Smoothed Neural Networks Forecasting method is applied and extended in this study to forecast numerical values. Unlike traditional forecasting techniques which forecast only future values, our proposed method provides a new extension to correct the predicted values which is done by forecasting the estimated error. Experimental results demonstrated that the proposed method has a high accuracy both in training and testing data and outperform the state-of-the-art RNN models on Mackey-Glass, NARMA, Lorenz and Henon map datasets.

Foundations

The foundational work for this paper's niche, ranked by how specifically the neighbourhood builds on it — not by global fame.

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