ROLGMar 3, 2019

Predicting Vehicle Behaviors Over An Extended Horizon Using Behavior Interaction Network

arXiv:1903.00848v293 citations
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This addresses the need for long-term behavior prediction in autonomous driving to improve planning, though it is incremental as it builds on existing neural network approaches.

The paper tackles the problem of predicting vehicle behaviors over an extended horizon for autonomous vehicles by leveraging vehicle interaction, resulting in superior accuracy and advanced interaction modeling compared to state-of-the-art methods on a real highway dataset.

Anticipating possible behaviors of traffic participants is an essential capability of autonomous vehicles. Many behavior detection and maneuver recognition methods only have a very limited prediction horizon that leaves inadequate time and space for planning. To avoid unsatisfactory reactive decisions, it is essential to count long-term future rewards in planning, which requires extending the prediction horizon. In this paper, we uncover that clues to vehicle behaviors over an extended horizon can be found in vehicle interaction, which makes it possible to anticipate the likelihood of a certain behavior, even in the absence of any clear maneuver pattern. We adopt a recurrent neural network (RNN) for observation encoding, and based on that, we propose a novel vehicle behavior interaction network (VBIN) to capture the vehicle interaction from the hidden states and connection feature of each interaction pair. The output of our method is a probabilistic likelihood of multiple behavior classes, which matches the multimodal and uncertain nature of the distant future. A systematic comparison of our method against two state-of-the-art methods and another two baseline methods on a publicly available real highway dataset is provided, showing that our method has superior accuracy and advanced capability for interaction modeling.

Foundations

The foundational work for this paper's niche, ranked by how specifically the neighbourhood builds on it — not by global fame.

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