Enforcing constraints for time series prediction in supervised, unsupervised and reinforcement learning
This work addresses the challenge of incorporating dynamical constraints into machine learning models for time series prediction, which is incremental as it adapts existing methods rather than introducing a new paradigm.
The paper tackles the problem of learning flow maps for dynamical systems by enforcing constraints to accelerate training and improve prediction accuracy across supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning modes, demonstrating results with numerical examples on the Lorenz system.
We assume that we are given a time series of data from a dynamical system and our task is to learn the flow map of the dynamical system. We present a collection of results on how to enforce constraints coming from the dynamical system in order to accelerate the training of deep neural networks to represent the flow map of the system as well as increase their predictive ability. In particular, we provide ways to enforce constraints during training for all three major modes of learning, namely supervised, unsupervised and reinforcement learning. In general, the dynamic constraints need to include terms which are analogous to memory terms in model reduction formalisms. Such memory terms act as a restoring force which corrects the errors committed by the learned flow map during prediction. For supervised learning, the constraints are added to the objective function. For the case of unsupervised learning, in particular generative adversarial networks, the constraints are introduced by augmenting the input of the discriminator. Finally, for the case of reinforcement learning and in particular actor-critic methods, the constraints are added to the reward function. In addition, for the reinforcement learning case, we present a novel approach based on homotopy of the action-value function in order to stabilize and accelerate training. We use numerical results for the Lorenz system to illustrate the various constructions.