A Generalized Flow for B2B Sales Predictive Modeling: An Azure Machine Learning Approach
This addresses the problem of subjective sales predictions in B2B consulting, but it is incremental as it applies existing ML methods to a specific domain.
The paper tackled the problem of forecasting B2B sales outcomes by proposing a data-driven machine learning workflow on Azure ML, and results showed that ML-based decision-making is more accurate and yields higher monetary value on a real dataset from a global consulting firm.
Predicting the outcome of sales opportunities is a core part of successful business management. Conventionally, making this prediction has relied mostly on subjective human evaluations in the process of sales decision making. In this paper, we addressed the problem of forecasting the outcome of business to business (B2B) sales by proposing a thorough data-driven Machine Learning (ML) workflow on a cloud-based computing platform: Microsoft Azure Machine Learning Service (Azure ML). This workflow consists of two pipelines: (1) An ML pipeline to train probabilistic predictive models on the historical sales opportunities data. In this pipeline, data is enriched with an extensive feature enhancement step and then used to train an ensemble of ML classification models in parallel. (2) A prediction pipeline to utilize the trained ML model and infer the likelihood of winning new sales opportunities along with calculating optimal decision boundaries. The effectiveness of the proposed workflow was evaluated on a real sales dataset of a major global B2B consulting firm. Our results implied that decision-making based on the ML predictions is more accurate and brings a higher monetary value.