From Checking to Inference: Actual Causality Computations as Optimization Problems
This work addresses the problem of building accountable and explainable AI systems by providing efficient automated causality reasoning, though it is incremental as it builds on existing formal approaches.
The paper tackles the computational challenge of automating actual causality reasoning by formulating it as optimization problems, achieving efficient checking in seconds and inference in minutes for models with over 8000 variables.
Actual causality is increasingly well understood. Recent formal approaches, proposed by Halpern and Pearl, have made this concept mature enough to be amenable to automated reasoning. Actual causality is especially vital for building accountable, explainable systems. Among other reasons, causality reasoning is computationally hard due to the requirements of counterfactuality and the minimality of causes. Previous approaches presented either inefficient or restricted, and domain-specific, solutions to the problem of automating causality reasoning. In this paper, we present a novel approach to formulate different notions of causal reasoning, over binary acyclic models, as optimization problems, based on quantifiable notions within counterfactual computations. We contribute and compare two compact, non-trivial, and sound integer linear programming (ILP) and Maximum Satisfiability (MaxSAT) encodings to check causality. Given a candidate cause, both approaches identify what a minimal cause is. Also, we present an ILP encoding to infer causality without requiring a candidate cause. We show that both notions are efficiently automated. Using models with more than $8000$ variables, checking is computed in a matter of seconds, with MaxSAT outperforming ILP in many cases. In contrast, inference is computed in a matter of minutes.