LGTRMLJun 16, 2020

Prior knowledge distillation based on financial time series

arXiv:2006.09247v57 citations
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This work addresses noise handling in financial time series prediction, which is an incremental improvement for domain-specific applications.

The paper tackled the challenge of non-stationary noise in financial time series by proposing a method that uses neural networks to represent features and fine-tune prior knowledge, resulting in faster and more accurate performance compared to traditional methods on real datasets.

One of the major characteristics of financial time series is that they contain a large amount of non-stationary noise, which is challenging for deep neural networks. People normally use various features to address this problem. However, the performance of these features depends on the choice of hyper-parameters. In this paper, we propose to use neural networks to represent these indicators and train a large network constructed of smaller networks as feature layers to fine-tune the prior knowledge represented by the indicators. During back propagation, prior knowledge is transferred from human logic to machine logic via gradient descent. Prior knowledge is the deep belief of neural network and teaches the network to not be affected by non-stationary noise. Moreover, co-distillation is applied to distill the structure into a much smaller size to reduce redundant features and the risk of overfitting. In addition, the decisions of the smaller networks in terms of gradient descent are more robust and cautious than those of large networks. In numerical experiments, we find that our algorithm is faster and more accurate than traditional methods on real financial datasets. We also conduct experiments to verify and comprehend the method.

Foundations

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