MLLGGEO-PHJul 15, 2020

Faster Uncertainty Quantification for Inverse Problems with Conditional Normalizing Flows

arXiv:2007.07985v118 citations
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This addresses the need for efficient uncertainty quantification in large-scale inverse problems that rely on expensive numerical simulations, though it appears incremental as it builds on existing normalizing flow methods.

The paper tackles the problem of faster uncertainty quantification in inverse problems by proposing a two-step scheme using conditional normalizing flows, which reuses a pretrained network as a warm start to speed up training for new observation distributions, demonstrating considerable training speedup in synthetic results.

In inverse problems, we often have access to data consisting of paired samples $(x,y)\sim p_{X,Y}(x,y)$ where $y$ are partial observations of a physical system, and $x$ represents the unknowns of the problem. Under these circumstances, we can employ supervised training to learn a solution $x$ and its uncertainty from the observations $y$. We refer to this problem as the "supervised" case. However, the data $y\sim p_{Y}(y)$ collected at one point could be distributed differently than observations $y'\sim p_{Y}'(y')$, relevant for a current set of problems. In the context of Bayesian inference, we propose a two-step scheme, which makes use of normalizing flows and joint data to train a conditional generator $q_θ(x|y)$ to approximate the target posterior density $p_{X|Y}(x|y)$. Additionally, this preliminary phase provides a density function $q_θ(x|y)$, which can be recast as a prior for the "unsupervised" problem, e.g.~when only the observations $y'\sim p_{Y}'(y')$, a likelihood model $y'|x$, and a prior on $x'$ are known. We then train another invertible generator with output density $q'_φ(x|y')$ specifically for $y'$, allowing us to sample from the posterior $p_{X|Y}'(x|y')$. We present some synthetic results that demonstrate considerable training speedup when reusing the pretrained network $q_θ(x|y')$ as a warm start or preconditioning for approximating $p_{X|Y}'(x|y')$, instead of learning from scratch. This training modality can be interpreted as an instance of transfer learning. This result is particularly relevant for large-scale inverse problems that employ expensive numerical simulations.

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