LGSIMLSep 7, 2020

Learning Interpretable Feature Context Effects in Discrete Choice

arXiv:2009.03417v218 citations
Originality Highly original
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This work addresses the problem of understanding context effects in discrete choice for researchers and practitioners in fields like marketing and social science, offering a novel method for discovery without prior knowledge.

The authors tackled the challenge of automatically discovering context effects from observed choice data, which influence preferences in areas like elections and product sales, and developed models that are easier to train, more flexible, and interpretable, identifying new effects in datasets and analyzing social network growth.

The outcomes of elections, product sales, and the structure of social connections are all determined by the choices individuals make when presented with a set of options, so understanding the factors that contribute to choice is crucial. Of particular interest are context effects, which occur when the set of available options influences a chooser's relative preferences, as they violate traditional rationality assumptions yet are widespread in practice. However, identifying these effects from observed choices is challenging, often requiring foreknowledge of the effect to be measured. In contrast, we provide a method for the automatic discovery of a broad class of context effects from observed choice data. Our models are easier to train and more flexible than existing models and also yield intuitive, interpretable, and statistically testable context effects. Using our models, we identify new context effects in widely used choice datasets and provide the first analysis of choice set context effects in social network growth.

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