LGJan 29, 2021

Optimal strategies for reject option classifiers

arXiv:2101.12523v170 citations
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This work addresses the challenge of abstaining from uncertain predictions in classification tasks, offering a unified theoretical framework and practical algorithms, though it is incremental in extending existing rejection models.

The paper tackles the problem of classification with a reject option by proving that three different rejection models lead to the same optimal prediction strategy, and it proposes two algorithms to learn a proper uncertainty score from examples for arbitrary classifiers, demonstrating efficiency on various prediction problems.

In classification with a reject option, the classifier is allowed in uncertain cases to abstain from prediction. The classical cost-based model of a reject option classifier requires the cost of rejection to be defined explicitly. An alternative bounded-improvement model, avoiding the notion of the reject cost, seeks for a classifier with a guaranteed selective risk and maximal cover. We coin a symmetric definition, the bounded-coverage model, which seeks for a classifier with minimal selective risk and guaranteed coverage. We prove that despite their different formulations the three rejection models lead to the same prediction strategy: a Bayes classifier endowed with a randomized Bayes selection function. We define a notion of a proper uncertainty score as a scalar summary of prediction uncertainty sufficient to construct the randomized Bayes selection function. We propose two algorithms to learn the proper uncertainty score from examples for an arbitrary black-box classifier. We prove that both algorithms provide Fisher consistent estimates of the proper uncertainty score and we demonstrate their efficiency on different prediction problems including classification, ordinal regression and structured output classification.

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