Implementing an expert system to evaluate technical solutions innovativeness
This work addresses the challenge of evaluating technical innovativeness for experts or organizations dealing with fuzzy and incomplete data, but it appears incremental as it builds on existing theories like evidence theory without claiming broad breakthroughs.
The paper tackles the problem of algorithmizing the quantification of innovativeness indicators for technical products, inventions, and technologies by introducing a model and algorithm to calculate technological novelty, relevance, and implementability under conditions of incomplete, inaccurate, or inconsistent data, and it describes specialized software that uses interval estimations based on evidence theory to analyze complex systems and provides an example of solving a specific problem.
The paper presents a possible solution to the problem of algorithmization for quantifying inno-vativeness indicators of technical products, inventions and technologies. The concepts of technological nov-elty, relevance and implementability as components of product innovation criterion are introduced. Authors propose a model and algorithm to calculate every of these indicators of innovativeness under conditions of incompleteness and inaccuracy, and sometimes inconsistency of the initial information. The paper describes the developed specialized software that is a promising methodological tool for using interval estimations in accordance with the theory of evidence. These estimations are used in the analysis of complex multicomponent systems, aggregations of large volumes of fuzzy and incomplete data of various structures. Composition and structure of a multi-agent expert system are presented. The purpose of such system is to process groups of measurement results and to estimate indicators values of objects innovativeness. The paper defines active elements of the system, their functionality, roles, interaction order, input and output inter-faces, as well as the general software functioning algorithm. It describes implementation of software modules and gives an example of solving a specific problem to determine the level of technical products innovation.