LGMLMay 14, 2021

Monash Time Series Forecasting Archive

arXiv:2105.06643v1266 citations
Originality Synthesis-oriented
AI Analysis

This provides a standardized resource for researchers to benchmark forecasting methods, but it is incremental as it compiles existing datasets rather than introducing new algorithms.

The paper tackles the lack of comprehensive time series archives for evaluating global forecasting algorithms by presenting a new archive with 20 publicly available datasets from varied domains, characterized through feature analysis and baseline performance metrics.

Many businesses and industries nowadays rely on large quantities of time series data making time series forecasting an important research area. Global forecasting models that are trained across sets of time series have shown a huge potential in providing accurate forecasts compared with the traditional univariate forecasting models that work on isolated series. However, there are currently no comprehensive time series archives for forecasting that contain datasets of time series from similar sources available for the research community to evaluate the performance of new global forecasting algorithms over a wide variety of datasets. In this paper, we present such a comprehensive time series forecasting archive containing 20 publicly available time series datasets from varied domains, with different characteristics in terms of frequency, series lengths, and inclusion of missing values. We also characterise the datasets, and identify similarities and differences among them, by conducting a feature analysis. Furthermore, we present the performance of a set of standard baseline forecasting methods over all datasets across eight error metrics, for the benefit of researchers using the archive to benchmark their forecasting algorithms.

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