CVAILGMAROAug 18, 2021

LOKI: Long Term and Key Intentions for Trajectory Prediction

arXiv:2108.08236v3104 citations
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This addresses the problem of improving safety and accuracy in autonomous driving systems by providing a dataset and method for long-term intention prediction, though it is incremental as it builds on existing intent-based prediction research.

The authors tackled the lack of datasets for joint trajectory and intention prediction in autonomous driving by introducing LOKI, a large-scale dataset for heterogeneous traffic agents, and proposed a model that outperforms state-of-the-art trajectory prediction methods by up to 27%.

Recent advances in trajectory prediction have shown that explicit reasoning about agents' intent is important to accurately forecast their motion. However, the current research activities are not directly applicable to intelligent and safety critical systems. This is mainly because very few public datasets are available, and they only consider pedestrian-specific intents for a short temporal horizon from a restricted egocentric view. To this end, we propose LOKI (LOng term and Key Intentions), a novel large-scale dataset that is designed to tackle joint trajectory and intention prediction for heterogeneous traffic agents (pedestrians and vehicles) in an autonomous driving setting. The LOKI dataset is created to discover several factors that may affect intention, including i) agent's own will, ii) social interactions, iii) environmental constraints, and iv) contextual information. We also propose a model that jointly performs trajectory and intention prediction, showing that recurrently reasoning about intention can assist with trajectory prediction. We show our method outperforms state-of-the-art trajectory prediction methods by upto $27\%$ and also provide a baseline for frame-wise intention estimation.

Foundations

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