Balanced background and explanation data are needed in explaining deep learning models with SHAP: An empirical study on clinical decision making
This work addresses the reliability of model explanations in clinical decision-making, but it is incremental as it adapts existing SHAP methods with data balancing.
The study tackled the problem of data imbalance affecting SHAP explanations for deep learning models by proposing a balancing strategy for background and explanation data, resulting in reduced artifacts and improved variable importance ranking in a clinical mortality prediction task.
Objective: Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) is a popular post-hoc technique for explaining black box models. While the impact of data imbalance on predictive models has been extensively studied, it remains largely unknown with respect to SHAP-based model explanations. This study sought to investigate the effects of data imbalance on SHAP explanations for deep learning models, and to propose a strategy to mitigate these effects. Materials and Methods: We propose to adjust class distributions in the background and explanation data in SHAP when explaining black box models. Our data balancing strategy is to compose background data and explanation data with an equal distribution of classes. To evaluate the effects of data adjustment on model explanation, we propose to use the beeswarm plot as a qualitative tool to identify "abnormal" explanation artifacts, and quantitatively test the consistency between variable importance and prediction power. We demonstrated our proposed approach in an empirical study that predicted inpatient mortality using the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-III) data and a multilayer perceptron. Results: Using the data balancing strategy would allow us to reduce the number of the artifacts in the beeswarm plot, thus mitigating the negative effects of data imbalance. Additionally, with the balancing strategy, the top-ranked variables from the corresponding importance ranking demonstrated improved discrimination power. Discussion and Conclusion: Our findings suggest that balanced background and explanation data could help reduce the noise in explanation results induced by skewed data distribution and improve the reliability of variable importance ranking. Furthermore, these balancing procedures improve the potential of SHAP in identifying patients with abnormal characteristics in clinical applications.