AIAug 29, 2022

Unified Bayesian Frameworks for Multi-criteria Decision-making Problems

arXiv:2208.13390v52 citationsh-index: 3
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This work addresses decision-making challenges for groups and uncertain preferences, but it appears incremental as it applies Bayesian methods to an existing domain.

The paper tackles multi-criteria decision-making problems by introducing Bayesian frameworks that handle group decision-making and criteria correlation, validated through numerical examples to show effectiveness compared to alternative methods.

This paper introduces Bayesian frameworks for tackling various aspects of multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) problems, leveraging a probabilistic interpretation of MCDM methods and challenges. By harnessing the flexibility of Bayesian models, the proposed frameworks offer statistically elegant solutions to key challenges in MCDM, such as group decision-making problems and criteria correlation. Additionally, these models can accommodate diverse forms of uncertainty in decision makers' (DMs) preferences, including normal and triangular distributions, as well as interval preferences. To address large-scale group MCDM scenarios, a probabilistic mixture model is developed, enabling the identification of homogeneous subgroups of DMs. Furthermore, a probabilistic ranking scheme is devised to assess the relative importance of criteria and alternatives based on DM(s) preferences. Through experimentation on various numerical examples, the proposed frameworks are validated, demonstrating their effectiveness and highlighting their distinguishing features in comparison to alternative methods.

Foundations

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