Predicting Blossom Date of Cherry Tree With Support Vector Machine and Recurrent Neural Network
This work addresses a domain-specific problem for public planning of travel and pollen avoidance, but it is incremental as it uses existing methods on new data.
The study tackled predicting cherry blossom dates using temperature data, applying multi-class Support Vector Classifier and LSTM models, and compared their performance to determine practical applicability.
Our project probes the relationship between temperatures and the blossom date of cherry trees. Through modeling, future flowering will become predictive, helping the public plan travels and avoid pollen season. To predict the date when the cherry trees will blossom exactly could be viewed as a multiclass classification problem, so we applied the multi-class Support Vector Classifier (SVC) and Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), particularly Long Short-term Memory (LSTM), to formulate the problem. In the end, we evaluate and compare the performance of these approaches to find out which one might be more applicable in reality.