Deep-Learning-Based Precipitation Nowcasting with Ground Weather Station Data and Radar Data
This addresses the problem of more accurate short-term rainfall forecasting for meteorologists and disaster management, though it is incremental as it builds on existing image-based models.
The paper tackled precipitation nowcasting by proposing ASOC, a novel attentive method to incorporate ground weather station data with radar images, improving the average critical success index for rainfall prediction by 5.7%.
Recently, many deep-learning techniques have been applied to various weather-related prediction tasks, including precipitation nowcasting (i.e., predicting precipitation levels and locations in the near future). Most existing deep-learning-based approaches for precipitation nowcasting, however, consider only radar and/or satellite images as inputs, and meteorological observations collected from ground weather stations, which are sparsely located, are relatively unexplored. In this paper, we propose ASOC, a novel attentive method for effectively exploiting ground-based meteorological observations from multiple weather stations. ASOC is designed to capture temporal dynamics of the observations and also contextual relationships between them. ASOC is easily combined with existing image-based precipitation nowcasting models without changing their architectures. We show that such a combination improves the average critical success index (CSI) of predicting heavy (at least 10 mm/hr) and light (at least 1 mm/hr) rainfall events at 1-6 hr lead times by 5.7%, compared to the original image-based model, using the radar images and ground-based observations around South Korea collected from 2014 to 2020.