Methodology for Capacity Credit Evaluation of Physical and Virtual Energy Storage in Decarbonized Power System
For power system planners, this work provides a more accurate method to quantify the adequacy contribution of storage, addressing a key gap in previous frameworks.
The paper proposes a novel evaluation framework for capacity credit of energy storage and virtual energy storage, incorporating human and market behavior. Results show that ignoring decision-independent and decision-dependent uncertainties leads to 10%-70% overestimation of capacity credit, and the proposed method yields credible results.
Energy storage (ES) and virtual energy storage (VES) are key components to realizing power system decarbonization. Although ES and VES have been proven to deliver various types of grid services, little work has so far provided a systematical framework for quantifying their adequacy contribution and credible capacity value while incorporating human and market behavior. Therefore, this manuscript proposed a novel evaluation framework to evaluate the capacity credit (CC) of ES and VES. To address the system capacity inadequacy and market behavior of storage, a two-stage coordinated dispatch is proposed to achieve the trade-off between day-ahead self-energy management of resources and efficient adjustment to real-time failures. And we further modeled the human behavior with storage operations and incorporate two types of decision-independent uncertainties (DIUs) (operate state and self-consumption) and one type of decision-dependent uncertainty (DDUs) (available capacity) into the proposed dispatch. Furthermore, novel reliability and CC indices (e.g., equivalent physical storage capacity (EPSC)) are introduced to evaluate the practical and theoretical adequacy contribution of ES and VES, as well as the ability to displace generation and physical storage while maintaining equivalent system adequacy. Exhaustive case studies based on the IEEE RTS-79 system and real-world data verify the significant consequence (10%-70% overestimated CC) of overlooking DIUs and DDUs in the previous works, while the proposed method outperforms other and can generate a credible and realistic result. Finally, we investigate key factors affecting the adequacy contribution of ES and VES, and reasonable suggestions are provided for better flexibility utilization of ES and VES in decarbonized power system.