STAICELGCPMay 25, 2023

Generating Synergistic Formulaic Alpha Collections via Reinforcement Learning

arXiv:2306.12964v136 citations
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This work addresses the need for better alpha sets in quantitative trading, though it appears incremental as it builds on existing alpha-mining methods by focusing on synergy.

The paper tackles the problem of generating synergistic sets of formulaic alpha factors for quantitative trading by proposing a reinforcement learning framework that directly optimizes for downstream combination performance, resulting in higher returns in investment simulations compared to previous approaches.

In the field of quantitative trading, it is common practice to transform raw historical stock data into indicative signals for the market trend. Such signals are called alpha factors. Alphas in formula forms are more interpretable and thus favored by practitioners concerned with risk. In practice, a set of formulaic alphas is often used together for better modeling precision, so we need to find synergistic formulaic alpha sets that work well together. However, most traditional alpha generators mine alphas one by one separately, overlooking the fact that the alphas would be combined later. In this paper, we propose a new alpha-mining framework that prioritizes mining a synergistic set of alphas, i.e., it directly uses the performance of the downstream combination model to optimize the alpha generator. Our framework also leverages the strong exploratory capabilities of reinforcement learning~(RL) to better explore the vast search space of formulaic alphas. The contribution to the combination models' performance is assigned to be the return used in the RL process, driving the alpha generator to find better alphas that improve upon the current set. Experimental evaluations on real-world stock market data demonstrate both the effectiveness and the efficiency of our framework for stock trend forecasting. The investment simulation results show that our framework is able to achieve higher returns compared to previous approaches.

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