LGSep 25, 2023

Forecasting large collections of time series: feature-based methods

Peking U
arXiv:2309.13807v12 citationsh-index: 18Has Code
Originality Synthesis-oriented
AI Analysis

This is an incremental review chapter for practitioners in economics and forecasting domains.

The paper tackles the challenge of forecasting large collections of time series by reviewing feature-based methods, such as model selection and combination, to address the variability in performance across different series, without reporting specific numerical results.

In economics and many other forecasting domains, the real world problems are too complex for a single model that assumes a specific data generation process. The forecasting performance of different methods changes depending on the nature of the time series. When forecasting large collections of time series, two lines of approaches have been developed using time series features, namely feature-based model selection and feature-based model combination. This chapter discusses the state-of-the-art feature-based methods, with reference to open-source software implementations.

Code Implementations1 repo
Foundations

The foundational work for this paper's niche, ranked by how specifically the neighbourhood builds on it — not by global fame.

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