LGITSep 25, 2023

Backorder Prediction in Inventory Management: Classification Techniques and Cost Considerations

arXiv:2309.13837v36 citationsh-index: 13
Originality Synthesis-oriented
AI Analysis

It addresses inventory management optimization for businesses, but is incremental as it applies existing methods to a specific domain.

This paper tackles the problem of predicting backorders in inventory management by evaluating multiple classification techniques, including Balanced Bagging Classifiers, Fuzzy Logic, VAE-GANs, and MLPs, and finds that combining ensemble methods and VAE can effectively handle imbalanced datasets, reducing false positives and false negatives.

This article introduces an advanced analytical approach for predicting backorders in inventory management. Backorder refers to an order that cannot be immediately fulfilled due to stock depletion. Multiple classification techniques, including Balanced Bagging Classifiers, Fuzzy Logic, Variational Autoencoder - Generative Adversarial Networks, and Multi-layer Perceptron classifiers, are assessed in this work using performance evaluation metrics such as ROC-AUC and PR-AUC. Moreover, this work incorporates a profit function and misclassification costs, considering the financial implications and costs associated with inventory management and backorder handling. The study suggests that a combination of modeling approaches, including ensemble techniques and VAE, can effectively address imbalanced datasets in inventory management, emphasizing interpretability and reducing false positives and false negatives. This research contributes to the advancement of predictive analytics and offers valuable insights for future investigations in backorder forecasting and inventory control optimization for decision-making.

Foundations

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