Density Matrix Emulation of Quantum Recurrent Neural Networks for Multivariate Time Series Prediction
This work addresses a specific bottleneck in quantum machine learning for time series analysis, offering an incremental improvement by enabling QRNN emulation without hardware-intensive measurements.
The paper tackled the challenge of implementing Quantum Recurrent Neural Networks (QRNNs) for multivariate time series prediction by developing a density matrix emulation method to avoid mid-circuit measurements, which are impractical in current quantum hardware; results demonstrated accurate predictions across diverse datasets, including comparisons with quantum and classical approaches.
Quantum Recurrent Neural Networks (QRNNs) are robust candidates for modelling and predicting future values in multivariate time series. However, the effective implementation of some QRNN models is limited by the need for mid-circuit measurements. Those increase the requirements for quantum hardware, which in the current NISQ era does not allow reliable computations. Emulation arises as the main near-term alternative to explore the potential of QRNNs, but existing quantum emulators are not dedicated to circuits with multiple intermediate measurements. In this context, we design a specific emulation method that relies on density matrix formalism. Using a compact tensor notation, we provide the mathematical formulation of the operator-sum representation involved. This allows us to show how the present and past information from a time series is transmitted through the circuit, and how to reduce the computational cost in every time step of the emulated network. In addition, we derive the analytical gradient and the Hessian of the network outputs with respect to its trainable parameters, which are needed when the outputs have stochastic noise due to hardware errors and a finite number of circuit shots (sampling). We finally test the presented methods using a hardware-efficient ansatz and four diverse datasets that include univariate and multivariate time series, with and without sampling noise. In addition, we compare the model with other existing quantum and classical approaches. Our results show how QRNNs can be trained with numerical and analytical gradients to make accurate predictions of future values by capturing non-trivial patterns of input series with different complexities.